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Will Bitcoin Price Reach $100K Again? Latest Prediction Says Yes

Published 27/03/2025 ร s 10:49
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Bitcoin Price Could Reach $100K Again, According to Recent Market Predictions

Bitcoin's price is gaining momentum again. After weeks of uncertainty, the world's best-known digital asset is trading above $87, with optimistic prospects for the coming months. The question lingering among investors is clear: can BTC really reach $100 by 2025?

A Bitcoin Price Recovery Scenario

On Thursday, March 27, 2025, Bitcoin recorded a price of US$ 87.243. This value represents an increase of 3,6% compared to the lows of the previous week.

For many analysts, the movement is a sign of recovery after an unstable start to the year, marked by debates over tariffs in the United States and macroeconomic uncertainties.

What is striking is the pace of the rise. Since falling below $80 at the beginning of the month, BTC has accumulated almost 10% of appreciation. The number itself is encouraging, but what really excites the market are the medium and long-term forecasts.

BTC stable but testing limits

According to data from CoinMarketCap, Bitcoin has seen a 1,2% increase in the last 24 hours and was trading at $87.226.

Technically, BTC is testing an important resistance zone near $88. This range coincides with the 50-day moving average, a technical indicator used to measure price action.

If the asset breaks through this level, there may be room to retest the all-time high near $108, recorded in early 2025. However, if it loses support at $85, the price could fall back to the annual average of $76, considered critical by analysts such as Aksel Kibar.

Technical breakout and cautious optimism

There are also technical signs that BTC has broken a downtrend line that has been in place since January. This is not yet a solid confirmation, but it could indicate an extra boost for buyers. The market is watching closely at this point.

O Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows a balance, without indicating overbought or oversold. The MACD indicator suggests slight optimism, albeit with caution. In short, the scenario is positive, but requires extra attention from investors.

Polymarket's role in forecasting

Attention now turns to predictions from specialized platforms. One example is Polymarket, which projects Bitcoin reaching up to US$ 138.617 by the end of 2025. This would mean an increase of approximately 60% compared to the current price.

Researcher Ashwin, who closely follows Polymarket data, believes this projection is conservative but realistic. In a post on X (formerly Twitter), he highlighted that the value serves as a reference for optimistic and pessimistic scenarios.

Confidence is bolstered by the fact that historical support levels remain valid. $73.800, the 2023 high, and $69.000, the 2021 peak, remain safe zones for analysts. According to a forecasting tool cited by Cointelegraph, there is a 95% chance that the price will not fall below $69.

Price ranges for 2025: what the data says

Polymarket is working with a price range between $59.040 and $138.617 for Bitcoin in 2025. In the short term, Ashwin sees the asset oscillating between $85 and $90. A breakout above $88 could see BTC aim for $100 in the first half of the year.

In the medium term, the analyst sees room to reach US$ 110 thousand, depending on the market momentum. In the long term, US$ 138 thousand seems plausible, especially if there is an improvement in macroeconomic conditions.

The importance of the annual average

For technical analyst Aksel Kibar, the key point is the annual average of US$ 76 thousand. If BTC remains above this level, the optimistic scenario remains valid. A break below this could mean a deeper correction, with impacts on market sentiment.

Ashwin also reinforces this point: โ€œNear-term targets range from $85 to $90, with upside potential of $100 to $110 if momentum builds,โ€ he said.

What could take BTC to $100K?

There are three main factors that could push Bitcoin into the six-figure range:

Market recovery: With trade tensions easing and a more stable environment, the crypto market is likely to attract more investment. Polymarket projects a ceiling of $138, which would leave $100 well within reach.

Institutional adoption: The entry of large investors, mainly through Bitcoin ETFs, could accelerate the rise. With clearer regulation, many funds are once again looking closely at BTC.

Historical patterns: Bitcoin cycles show that after a halving, the following year usually brings significant appreciation. Since the last halving occurred in 2024, 2025 could be the year of growth.

Bitcoin Price Predictions Table for 2025

ScenarioPrice rangePig ironMain factor
Optimistic caseUS$ 180 thousand โ€“ US$ 250 thousandFundstrat, VanEckInstitutional adoption, limited supply
Base caseUS$ 120 thousand โ€“ US$ 150 thousandJPMorgan, KalshiOrganic growth, moderate institutional use
Pessimistic caseUS$ 70 thousand โ€“ US$ 85 thousandBitMEX, GlassnodeETF outflows, macroeconomic pressure

Optimistic projections and warnings

Fundstrat's Tom Lee sees a possibility of Bitcoin reaching $250 if the US Treasury allocates part of its reserves to the cryptocurrency. Standard Chartered, meanwhile, projects $200 based on a strong inflow of capital via ETFs.

On the other hand, former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes sees a $70 scenario if there are significant outflows of these funds. Glassnode is also cautious, citing $74 as a floor if long-term investors decide to sell.

Risks along the way

Despite the optimism, the scenario is not without risks. Here are some points to be aware of:

  • Market volatility: BTC is known for its wild swings. Any movement below $76 could jeopardize the uptrend.
  • Global tensions: Issues such as tariffs, geopolitical conflicts, and inflation can impact all risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.
  • Altcoin Competition: Ethereum, for example, rose 3,8% and is trading at $2.090. If BTC loses strength, other coins could attract more capital.

The question remains: Is a Bitcoin price of $100 possible?

The short answer: yes. Forecasts from Polymarket ($138K) and Kalshi ($122K) indicate that $100K is within the base case for 2025. Support above $87K, easing economic fears, and institutional interest strengthen this path.

But everything depends on maintaining technical support, facing volatility and following the market's next steps. For those who invest or follow the sector, the next few months promise to be decisive.

BTC's immediate resistance is clear: $88. If it breaks through this barrier with force, it will open the way for it to reach $100 in the coming weeks. This is the point that traders and investors should be watching most closely.

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27/03/2025 13:57

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Fabio Lucas Carvalho

Journalist specializing in a wide range of topics, such as cars, technology, politics, shipbuilding, geopolitics, renewable energy and economics. I have been working since 2015 with prominent publications in major news portals. My degree in Information Technology Management from Faculdade de Petrolina (Facape) adds a unique technical perspective to my analyses and reports. With over 10 thousand articles published in renowned media outlets, I always seek to bring detailed information and relevant insights to the reader. For story suggestions or any questions, please contact me by email at flclucas@hotmail.com.

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