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China waits anxiously and nervously for Trump's return: The future of relations with the US at stake

Written by Carla Teles de Lima
Published 20/01/2025 às 20:23
China waits anxiously and nervously for Trump's return: The future of relations with the US at stake
Xi and Trump have had their ups and downs, marked by tariffs and trade disputes. The relationship between China and the US has always been one of tension and mutual interest.

As Trump returns to the White House, China faces fears of new tariffs, tries to protect its weakened economy and seeks to renew diplomatic ties to avoid a repeat of the trade war that shook the world.

Relations between China and the United States have never been simple, but Donald Trump’s return to the White House has brought a mix of hope and concern in Beijing. The reason? A recent history fraught with trade and diplomatic tensions, but also marked by opportunities for cooperation.

A past of conflicts and renewed hopes

When Trump took office for his first term, the ensuing trade war sparked a abyss between the two largest economies in the world. Tariffs on more than $300 billion worth of Chinese goods have not only impacted exports but also fueled a climate of economic uncertainty.

However, there are signs of a more diplomatic approach in this new cycle. Xi Jinping, in a gesture of goodwill, sent Vice President Han Zheng to represent China in meetings with American executives. This move, although symbolic, shows that Beijing is willing to negotiate, but without forgetting the wounds of the past.

The economic game on the international board

China and the United States are the world's largest economic powers, leading in trade, technology and global influence. Despite being rivals in many ways, both depend on each other to maintain global balance.

According to InfoMoney, Elon Musk, one of the leading US entrepreneurs, was one of the protagonists in recent discussions with Chinese representatives. During a meeting with Han Zheng, Musk heard a clear invitation: for American companies to continue investing in China. Beijing understands that the presence of these companies is essential to stabilize bilateral relations and avoid new friction.

On the other hand, Trump has already signaled that he will not hesitate to increase tariffs if he deems it necessary. This stance keeps both countries in a tense game of economic chess, where every move has global consequences.

The sentiment in China: Optimism and concern

Inside China, feelings are mixed. On the one hand, Xi and Trump had a cordial phone conversation that Trump described as “very good.” On the other, many business leaders and ordinary citizens fear a new escalation of tensions. Memories of the 2018 tariffs are still fresh, and China’s domestic challenges — including a housing crisis and high youth unemployment — make the country more vulnerable than ever.

“If new tariffs are imposed, we will be in trouble,” said Dominic Desmarais, a foreign businessman based in China. He is not alone in his concerns. The current economic climate is delicate, and any aggressive measures could intensify the problems.

A new starting point or old habits?

Mao Ning, a spokesman for China’s foreign ministry, described the moment as a “new starting point” for relations between the two powers. The question, however, is: can both sides overcome the cycle of conflicts that have marked recent years?

Diplomacy will play a crucial role in the coming months. The world is watching in this relationship, as the impact of a new trade war would not be restricted to the two nations – it would reverberate globally, affecting supply chains, investments and financial markets.

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Carla Teles de Lima

I talk about technology, innovation and the oil and gas sector, bringing up-to-date and relevant content about the Brazilian market. Every day, I share information about job opportunities and the main news in the sector. Do you have a suggestion for a topic? Just send it to my email: carlatdl016@gmail.com.

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