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Inflation expectations encourage investors before the party is impacted.

Written by Paulo Nogueira
Published 22/01/2024 às 07:36
price index, inflation rate, cost of living
Investors start the week in high spirits and international stock markets are trading in the green. But will the good mood last? The Index will be released on Friday - All rights reserved: MoneyTimes

Investors are excited this week and international stock markets are operating positively. We expect the Personal Consumption Expenditure Index on Friday.

Later in the week, investors will be keeping an eye on the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index, as it could affect the market's mood. If the numbers come in higher than expected, bets on an interest rate cut in the first half of the year could fall apart. This is because the fall in prices may not be as fast as the US central bank would like, leading to a possible reversal in the investor optimism.

With the release of the PCE, markets will be paying attention to the price index and inflation rate, as this data can directly impact the cost of living and Federal Reserve decisions. If the numbers show that inflation is higher than desired or that prices are falling more slowly than expected, expectations of an interest rate cut may dissipate, influencing international stock markets and investments in various sectors.

Inflation hits new record last week

Inflation remains the country's main concern market, with the price index reaching new heights in the last week. The inflation rate has been constantly increasing, directly impacting families' cost of living.

New inflation indicators are released

On the last Friday, a new inflation indicator, which surprised the market. The Personal Consumption Expenditure Index pointed to a significant increase in prices, leading to expectations of a possible interest rate cut by the Fed.

Market reacts to inflationary pressure

The financial market has been closely monitoring the situation, with investors concerned about the impact of inflation on company profits. Friday's trading session was marked by strong volatility, with the Nasdaq, S & P 500 and Dow Jones wobbling amid inflation concerns.

Sectors impacted by rising inflation

Several sectors of the economy have been affected by rising prices, with emphasis on oil companies, which are facing pressure due to high costs. Oil/Brent and oil/WTI have also been impacted by inflation, raising concerns for investors.

According to him, the current situation requires attention and care on the part of economic authorities, who may consider monetary easing measures to contain the effects of inflation. O Fed director also signaled the possibility of interest rate cuts to stimulate the economy and control inflation.

Source: moneytimes

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Paulo Nogueira

An electrical engineer graduated from one of the country's technical education institutions, the Instituto Federal Fluminense - IFF (formerly CEFET), I worked for several years in the areas of offshore oil and gas, energy and construction. Today, with over 8 publications in magazines and online blogs about the energy sector, my focus is to provide real-time information on the Brazilian employment market, macro and micro economics and entrepreneurship. For questions, suggestions and corrections, please contact us at informe@clickpetroleoegas.com.br. Please note that we do not accept resumes for this purpose.

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