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Trump's new term promises to intensify rivalry with China and ignite new trade and ideological war: the impact on the global economy

Written by Anna Alice
Published 12/11/2024 ร s 21:12
Trump's new term is expected to intensify the US-China rivalry, transforming geopolitics and impacting the global economy and security. (Image: Reproduction/Canva)
Trump's new term is expected to intensify the US-China rivalry, transforming geopolitics and impacting the global economy and security. (Image: Reproduction/Canva)

Trump's return to the US presidency could intensify the rivalry with China, placing the world on the brink of a new trade and ideological war. The dispute between these powers will be decisive for the economy and global security in the coming years, warns expert Amรฉrico Martins.

The world faces an increasingly tense and unpredictable international scenario. The return of Donald Trump to the presidency of the United States, if confirmed, could be accompanied by major impacts on the global order, creating a domino effect that promises to influence all world powers.

Amidst armed conflicts, such as those in Ukraine and the Middle East, an even more delicate point stands out: the rivalry between the USA and China.

For international analyst Amรฉrico Martins, this relationship will be the key point of the next four years, where each of Trump's moves can reverberate around the world and directly affect the economy and international security.

The new mandate should reinforce the policy of confrontation with China, decisively shaping the balance of forces on the geopolitical scene.

Current geopolitics: a scenario of multiple conflicts

Martins describes the current global landscape as โ€œmuch more complicated and dangerousโ€ than the one faced during Trumpโ€™s first term. Since then, significant conflicts have emerged that test the power of major nations.

A war between Russia and Ukraine in Europe and rising tensions in the Middle East have created a delicate scenario for any global leader, and Trump will face the responsibility of managing tense and unpredictable relations.

In addition to armed conflicts, China's rise as one of the world's largest economies and ideological powers has directly challenged the United States.

With often opposing positions on issues of trade, technology and human rights, the US and China maintain a competition that, according to experts, has the chance to intensify even further.

China: The crux of Trump's new foreign policy

According to the analyst, the clash between the US and China will be Trump's biggest challenge in the coming years, especially with its promises of tougher policies against the Asian giant.

For Trump, China represents not only an economic rival, but an ideological adversary that, in his view, threatens the security and economy of the United States.

This confrontational stance has already shown signs that it is set to continue: Trump has indicated his intention to raise tariffs on Chinese products and reinforce support for Taiwan, increasing pressure on the Chinese government.

Analyst Amรฉrico Martins, in an interview CNN Brazil, highlights that Trump's decision to treat China as his main rival is unlikely to change.

In his first term, the president initiated a series of restrictive measures and pressured US allies to adopt a more cautious stance towards the Asian giant.

Furthermore, resistance to China's technological influence, such as the issue of 5G and Huawei, is also highlighted as a sensitive point that should be monitored closely.

China's reaction to the new Trump administration

So far, there has been no formal reaction from the Chinese government regarding Trump's possible return to the US presidency. This strategic silence worries analysts, who see a possible escalation of tensions in the future administration.

China's response, when it occurs, will play a fundamental role in defining the course of geopolitics in the coming years.Beijing's stance could either pave the way for a diplomatic approach or escalate trade and military disputes.

The impact of the confrontation between the US and China on the world economy

This clash is not limited to ideological and political issues. The global economy depends on stability between these two powers.

Any new movement that threatens this stability could directly affect the economy of other countries, including Brazil.

For experts, a prolonged conflict between the world's two largest economies brings the risk of a global economic slowdown, with effects on trade and access to technologies.

As disputes between nations intensify, markets could become even more volatile. Investors are watching every move in the US-China relationship, fearing that further friction could affect international trade and cause more inflation and financial instability.

According to analysts, countries dependent on trade with these powers must be aware of the consequences of this confrontation.

The role of the international community

The international community also has the challenge of dealing with new policies Trump in relation to China. Alliances between the US and its partners, such as the European Union, could be decisive in containing or intensifying this conflict..

On the other hand, China is also strengthening its global presence with infrastructure investments in countries in Asia, Africa and Latin America. This power play could alter the balance of power in several regions.

the next steps in a decisive relationship

Faced with such a volatile scenario, Relations between the United States and China under the new Trump administration could reshape global geopolitics and define the coming years of tensions and alliances.

The impacts of these interactions are unpredictable and await a response from the two powers involved.

Faced with a new phase in relations between the US and China, do you believe that the countries will be able to avoid an even more intense economic confrontation?

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Anna Alice

Copywriter and content analyst. She has been writing for the website Click Petrรณleo e Gรกs (CPG) since 2024 and specializes in creating texts on diverse topics such as the economy, jobs and the military.

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