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Ian Bremmer's predictions: what to expect from the economy and geopolitics in 2024

Written by Paulo Nogueira
Published 29/01/2024 às 15:40
Ian Bremmer, founder and chairman of Eurasia Group
Founder and president of Eurasia Group and GZERO Media, Ian Bremmer analyzed the geopolitical scenario in 2024 at a B20 event Opening Event is the first meeting on the agenda of the Business 20 groups, the business arm of the G20 – All rights: Industry Portal

Founder of Eurasia Group spoke at the B20 Brasil Opening Event about energy transition, biodiversity and artificial intelligence.

Ian Bremmer, founder and president of Eurasia Group and GZERO Media, predicts that the main themes that should occupy the global agenda in 2024 include geopolitical conflicts, the United States' relationship with China, artificial intelligence and energy transition. The political scientist's role is to help business leaders, policy makers and society in general understand critical issues, and has analyzed the economic and geopolitical context for the economic cycle. B20 this year.

Furthermore, Ian Bremmer, founder and president of Eurasia Group, highlighted the importance of understanding the economic and geopolitical scenario for making strategic decisions. Bremmer is one of the world's leading political risk analysts, and his forecasts and analyzes are widely recognized and respected in academia and business.

Geopolitical conflicts compromise stability

The latest news released by renowned global politics expert Ian Bremmer, founder and president of Eurasia Group, indicates that three conflicts in different parts of the world are affecting geopolitical stability.

  • The ongoing war between Ukraine and Russia appears to be at a critical juncture, with Ukraine facing increasing difficulties and Russian President Vladimir Putin confident of the possibility of victory.
  • In the Middle East, the conflict extends beyond Gaza and Israel, involving countries such as Iran and generating impacts that go beyond the region's borders, including the United States.
  • Internally, the United States faces a tumultuous political scenario, especially as the presidential elections approach, a situation that Ian Bremmer believes to be dangerous, compared to the actions of Brazilian institutions during similar events.

Appeasement in the United States’ relationship with China

One of the most unstable geopolitical dynamics, as pointed out by Ian Bremmer, founder and president of Eurasia Group, is the relationship between the United States and China. However, there is a period of appeasement, the result of more cautious management focused on minimizing risks until 2024. This scenario is directly related to the actions of the american president Joe Biden, at the same time that China recognizes the importance of broader engagement internationally.

Generative AI will affect all economic sectors

Additionally, Ian Bremmer, chairman and founder of Eurasia Group, highlighted the growing influence of artificial intelligence in all areas of the economy, highlighting the challenges that world leaders face when outlining strategies to deal with this reality. He highlighted the importance of national investments in this field, while expressing concern about the lack of progress in this area on the part of Latin American governments. Bremmer emphasized that the growth of AI brings significant opportunities to various sectors, even if it presents risks such as instability, misinformation and threats related to digital security.

In this regard, Ian Bremmer, president of Eurasia Group, emphasized the importance of governance in the age of AI, highlighting the role of technology companies in this scenario. He highlighted the need for countries, including the Brazil, invest in human capital to keep up with advances in this area, in order to avoid falling behind in this technological race.

Brazil and the green agenda: opportunities for the bioeconomy and energy transition

Furthermore, Ian Bremmer, founder and president of Eurasia Group, highlighted the unique opportunities for Brazil in the context of the green agenda, specifically mentioning the bioeconomy and the energy transition. He highlighted Brazil's potential in relation to biodiversity at a time when other countries are losing this natural wealth. Bremmer also recognized Brazil's political stability in a global context of instability, with concerns about adequate financing for the energy transition and the need for leadership from more developed countries to achieve more ambitious goals.

The launch of B20 in Brazil

The B20 Brasil launch event, coordinated by the National Confederation of Industry (CNI) and with the participation of Ian Bremmer, took place at the Federation of Industries of the State of Rio de Janeiro (FIRJAN) and was attended by government authorities, such as the vice -president and minister of Development, Industry and Foreign Trade (MDIC), Geraldo Alckmin, and national and international business leaders. This initiative represents an important opportunity for Brazil, as the country takes on the coordination of the event, which is part of the G20, in addition to hosting the United Nations Conference on Climate Change (COP).

Source: Industry Portal

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Paulo Nogueira

An electrical engineer graduated from one of the country's technical education institutions, the Instituto Federal Fluminense - IFF (formerly CEFET), I worked for several years in the areas of offshore oil and gas, energy and construction. Today, with over 8 publications in magazines and online blogs about the energy sector, my focus is to provide real-time information on the Brazilian employment market, macro and micro economics and entrepreneurship. For questions, suggestions and corrections, please contact us at informe@clickpetroleoegas.com.br. Please note that we do not accept resumes for this purpose.

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