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‘It Is Still Early to Make Decisions on Whether to Increase Oil Supply’: OPEC+ Group Needs to Exercise Caution Before Any Significant Production Adjustment

Written by Bruno Teles
Published on 10/10/2024 at 00:53
'Ainda é cedo para tomar decisões sobre aumentar ou não a oferta de petróleo': grupo OPEP+ precisa ter cautela antes de qualquer ajuste significativo na produção
É hora de aumentar produção de petróleo? (Imagem: Reprodução)
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Novak’s Statement Casts Doubt on the Absorption of More Oil by the Global Market, While the OPEC+ Group Continues to Carefully Evaluate Production.

In a recent interview, Russia’s Deputy Prime Minister, Alexander Novak, stated that it is premature to predict whether the global market will need additional volumes of oil starting in December. The statement comes amid discussions about the next steps for the OPEC+ group, which consists of oil-producing countries, including Russia and Saudi Arabia.

The current uncertainty regarding oil demand worries the OPEC+ group, which has already committed to significant production cuts. Currently, the reduction amounts to about 5.86 million barrels per day, roughly 5.7% of global demand.

OPEC+ Group Had Planned to Increase Oil Production

The group had planned to increase production by 180,000 barrels of oil per day, but the decision was postponed due to the recent drop in oil prices, further elevating caution.

“It is still early to make any decision about whether to increase oil production or not,” Novak stated, emphasizing that the situation needs to be monitored day by day. The scenario of uncertainty includes factors such as economic slowdowns in regions like China and North America, as well as the lower demand for oil that typically occurs in the fall and winter.

Will the Market Be Able to Absorb Extra Volumes?

The increase in demand this year, which reached 1.8 million barrels per day, still shows no clear signs that the market will be able to absorb additional volumes of oil, as some expect. The next biannual summit of the OPEC+ group, scheduled for December 1st, will be crucial to discuss these issues and decide the direction of production for the coming months.

“We are ready to adjust production as necessary,” reinforced Saudi Energy Minister, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, confirming OPEC+’s flexible stance.

The question that remains is: Will the global market be ready for additional volumes of oil, or will the uncertainty persist? Share your opinion in the comments!

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Bruno Teles

Falo sobre tecnologia, inovação, petróleo e gás. Atualizo diariamente sobre oportunidades no mercado brasileiro. Com mais de 7.000 artigos publicados nos sites CPG, Naval Porto Estaleiro, Mineração Brasil e Obras Construção Civil. Sugestão de pauta? Manda no brunotelesredator@gmail.com

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