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New Study Reveals Brazil’s Regions With The Most Fuel Fraud: 28% Of Samples Show Irregularities, With Chip Meters, Toxic Methanol, Organized Crime, And Risk Of Serious Engine Damage

Written by Ana Alice
Published on 27/01/2026 at 20:58
Estudo do ICL mapeia regiões do Brasil com maior risco de gasolina adulterada, fraude volumétrica e problemas na qualidade dos combustíveis. (Imagem: Reprodução)
Estudo do ICL mapeia regiões do Brasil com maior risco de gasolina adulterada, fraude volumétrica e problemas na qualidade dos combustíveis. (Imagem: Reprodução)
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Technical Survey Identified Regional Patterns of Irregularities in Fuels, Based on Laboratory Analyses Conducted Without Prior Notice to Stations, Gathering Data on Volumetric Fraud, Product Quality, and Adulterations in Different Brazilian States.

A survey by the Legal Fuel Institute (ICL) identified that 28% of gasoline, ethanol, and diesel samples collected in 2025 showed some type of irregularity.

In total, 3,210 samples were analyzed from fuel stations in 14 Brazilian states, with 888 results outside the technical standards after laboratory tests.

The data is part of a study that uses the inspection method known as “mystery shopper.”

In this model, a disguised vehicle refuels as a regular consumer.

The fuel purchased is later analyzed to identify adulterations, volumetric fraud, and quality problems.

From this material, the institute creates heat maps indicating regions with the highest incidence of non-conformities.

How the Mystery Shopper Method Works

According to the ICL, the main characteristic of the “mystery shopper” is to replicate the everyday scenario faced by the driver.

The station is not informed in advance about the inspection.

The strategy, according to the institute, allows for checking whether the fuel delivered to the consumer complies with current technical rules.

The collected samples are sent to specialized laboratories.

In these locations, they undergo physicochemical analyses.

The survey is not limited to gasoline.

Ethanol and diesel are also evaluated, as irregularities can occur both in the composition of the product and in the operation of the pumps.

Volumetric Fraud Leads the Records of Irregularities

Among the non-conformities identified in 2025, the most frequent was volumetric fraud.

In this type of occurrence, the pump indicates a higher volume than what is actually delivered to the vehicle.

Next, problems related to gasoline and ethanol quality appear.

There were also cases of ethanol content above the permitted level in gasoline.

In diesel, situations of low biodiesel content arise.

There were also isolated occurrences of adulteration with methanol.

According to the survey, 324 cases of fraudulent pumps were counted.

Another 227 records involved low quality of gasoline and ethanol.

Additionally, 226 episodes indicated excess ethanol in gasoline.

There were still 93 occurrences of insufficient biodiesel content.

The study identified four cases involving methanol.

In an interview with Autoesporte, Carlo Faccio, executive director of the ICL, stated that volumetric fraud is usually applied directly to the refueling equipment.

According to him, there are situations where the pump panel does not correspond to the actual volume delivered to the consumer.

“Through mystery shopping, we have already identified non-conformities that reach 31% [of the volume] displayed on the panel.”

According to Faccio, the study indicated a regional concentration of this type of practice.

In the released data, 52% of volumetric frauds were recorded in Paraná.

Operation Carbon Hidden Expanded the Focus on the Sector

The increased attention on the topic occurred after the triggering of the Operation Carbon Hidden.

The operation was led by the Federal Revenue Service with support from other agencies.

The investigation uncovered a scheme of fraud and money laundering involving the fuel market.

Warrants were executed in eight states, including São Paulo, Paraná, Rio de Janeiro, and Santa Catarina.

Official information released at the time indicated the identification of irregularities in more than a thousand stations.

These establishments were distributed across 10 states.

The balance also pointed to an estimated financial movement of R$ 52 billion between 2020 and 2024.

Among the practices investigated was the diversion of methanol for fuel adulteration.

Ethanol Content in Gasoline and Impacts on the Vehicle

Part of the irregularities involves the ethanol content present in gasoline.

Since August 2025, Brazil has officially adopted gasoline E30.

The fuel contains 30% anhydrous ethanol, according to decisions by the National Energy Policy Council.

Regulation is carried out by the National Agency of Petroleum, Natural Gas, and Biofuels.

In these cases, the offense occurs when the permitted percentage is exceeded.

The ANP informs that changes in vehicle behavior can serve as alerts.

According to the agency, increased consumption, loss of power, or operational failures can have various causes.

Among them is fuel quality, although the agency emphasizes that these signals do not replace technical analyses.

Methanol Appears in Few Cases but Requires Attention

Adulteration with methanol represents a small portion of occurrences mapped by the ICL.

Still, the topic is closely monitored due to the risks involved.

In public statements, Carlo Faccio highlighted that it is a toxic and corrosive substance.

According to him, the product can cause harm to the health of workers and consumers.

In 2025, health authorities investigated cases of poisoning associated with the consumption of beverages adulterated with methanol.

Official bulletins dealt with notifications and laboratory confirmations in some states.

So far, there has been no disclosure of a consolidated number of hospitalizations on a national scale.

Map Indicates Municipalities with the Highest Incidence of Irregularities

Based on the samples collected, the ICL created heat maps to indicate the so-called risk zones.

The classification varies according to the type of irregularity.

Regions with More Records of Volumetric Fraud (Image: AutoEsporte/Instituto Combustível Legal)
Regions with More Records of Volumetric Fraud (Image: AutoEsporte/Instituto Combustível Legal)

In the cases of volumetric fraud, cities like São Paulo, Campinas, Osasco, Santo André, São Bernardo do Campo, São Caetano do Sul, Mauá, Santos, and Guarujá appear with more records.

In Rio de Janeiro, the highlights are Rio de Janeiro, Duque de Caxias, and Nova Iguaçu.

In Paraná, Curitiba, São José dos Pinhais, and Campo Largo emerge.

Cities in Bahia and Goiás also appear in the survey.

Regions with Low Quality of Gasoline and Ethanol (Image: AutoEsporte/Instituto Combustível Legal)
Regions with Low Quality of Gasoline and Ethanol (Image: AutoEsporte/Instituto Combustível Legal)

When the focus is on gasoline and ethanol quality, the study cites São Paulo, Guarulhos, Santos, Jundiaí, Campinas, and municipalities in the ABC region of São Paulo.

In Rio de Janeiro, the records involve Rio de Janeiro, Duque de Caxias, and São Gonçalo.

The analysis also includes Belo Horizonte, Contagem, Curitiba, and Salvador.

Irregularities in Diesel Quality (Image: AutoEsporte/Instituto Combustível Legal)
Irregularities in Diesel Quality (Image: AutoEsporte/Instituto Combustível Legal)
Irregularities in Diesel Quality (2) (Image: AutoEsporte/Instituto Combustível Legal)
Irregularities in Diesel Quality (2) (Image: AutoEsporte/Instituto Combustível Legal)

In the case of diesel, the most frequent records appear in cities along the São Paulo coast.

Municipalities in the interior of Paraná also emerge.

There are occurrences in Santa Catarina, Minas Gerais, Goiás, and Mato Grosso.

The ICL informs that the maps serve as statistical indicators.

They do not represent a definitive classification of each station.

Industry representatives state that changes in the distribution chain can occur in short periods.

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Ana Alice

Redatora e analista de conteúdo. Escreve para o site Click Petróleo e Gás (CPG) desde 2024 e é especialista em criar textos sobre temas diversos como economia, empregos e forças armadas.

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