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Agricultural Futures Market Reacts: Soybeans Down While Corn and Wheat Up in Chicago

Written by Sara Aquino
Published on 24/12/2025 at 10:05
Soja cai em Chicago, enquanto milho e trigo sobem e movimentam o mercado futuro agrícola e as commodities agrícolas.
Foto; IA
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Soybean Drops in Chicago, While Corn and Wheat Rise and Move the Agricultural Futures Market and Agricultural Commodities.

The soybean ended the session on this Tuesday (23/12) down at the Chicago Exchange, while corn and wheat registered gains in the agricultural futures market.

The movement involved agricultural commodity operators, reflecting position adjustments in light of the current supply, demand, and global inventory scenario.

Negotiations took place in the United States, the leading global reference for agricultural prices, and were influenced by disappointing demand for American soybeans, especially from China, in addition to favorable conditions for the South American harvest.

This context explains why soybean in Chicago lost strength, while corn in Chicago and wheat in Chicago advanced.

Chicago Soybean Closes Lower with Position Adjustment

The price of Chicago soybean ended the day down, reflecting a more cautious market with few changes in fundamentals.

The contract expiring in January was quoted at US$ 10.51 per bushel, recording a decline of 0.17%.

The contract for March 2026 also showed depreciation.

The price adjusted to US$ 10.63 per bushel, down 0.12%, reinforcing the correction movement observed throughout the session.

This behavior indicates that agents in the agricultural futures market remain attentive to the balance between supply and demand.

As a result, many opted to make technical adjustments to their positions, reducing exposure to oilseeds.

Weaker Demand Pressures American Soybean

According to the consultancy Granar, the pressure on Chicago soybean is directly linked to the weakening of international demand.

The negative highlight continues to be China, the world’s leading buyer of the grain.

“According to the consultancy Granar, the scenario continues to show lower-than-expected demand for American soybeans, especially from China, and favorable conditions for the development of the harvest in South America.”

Additionally, the advancement of the South American harvest contributes to a greater global supply environment.

Countries like Brazil and Argentina have favorable weather conditions, increasing expectations for good productivity.

Therefore, even with no major changes in global stocks, the perception of abundance limits upward movements for soybean in the short term.

Chicago Corn Rises with Expectation of Balance Between Supply and Consumption

Meanwhile, Chicago corn took the opposite path and ended the day higher.

The March 2026 contract, the most traded in the short term, closed at US$ 4.4750 per bushel, with an increase of 0.11%.

The contract for May 2026 showed an even more consistent advance.

The final price was US$ 4.5550 per bushel, up 0.22%, reflecting a scenario of greater stability in the fundamentals of the cereal.

The agricultural futures market for corn reacts to more predictable consumption, especially for animal feed and biofuels.

Additionally, stock adjustments and weather conditions in the United States help sustain prices.

Chicago Wheat Follows Corn and Registers Gains

Chicago wheat also closed the trading session in positive territory, following the movement of corn. The contract expiring in March 2026 adjusted to US$ 5.17 per bushel, up 0.29%.

The lots for delivery in May 2026 also registered gains. The final price was US$ 5.2725 per bushel, an increase of 0.19%, consolidating the upward trend throughout the day.

This performance is linked to the global dynamics of the cereal, which involves climatic factors, logistics costs, and strategic decisions by exporters.

Thus, wheat maintains relative strength within the agricultural futures market.

Agricultural Commodities Reflect Caution and Selectivity of Investors

The distinct behavior between soybean, corn, and wheat shows how the agricultural commodity market operates in a selective manner.

Each product responds to specific fundamentals, even when traded on the same exchange.

In the case of Chicago soybean, the combination of weak demand and a promising harvest weighs on prices.

On the other hand, Chicago corn and Chicago wheat find support in more balanced expectations between production and consumption.

Thus, investors remain attentive to the upcoming supply and demand reports, as well as climatic data and movements from China.

These factors will continue to determine the direction of the agricultural futures market in the coming weeks.

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Sara Aquino

Farmacêutica e Redatora. Escrevo sobre Empregos, Geopolítica, Economia, Ciência, Tecnologia e Energia.

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