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‘New Bubble’ Ignores Fundamentals and Repeats Mistakes That Destroyed $5 Trillion in the 90s Dot-Com Crisis

Written by Bruno Teles
Published on 12/08/2025 at 13:39
Uma em cada cinco empresas abertas em 1999 sumiu até 2002, e sinais da nova bolha acendem alerta nos mercados
Uma em cada cinco empresas abertas em 1999 sumiu até 2002, e sinais da nova bolha acendem alerta nos mercados
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Are We Living in a New Bubble? The Untold Story of the .com Bubble. The 90s Phenomenon Destroyed Trillions of Dollars and Left Lessons That Can Prevent a New Collapse

Are we really facing a new bubble or is it just another cycle of market euphoria? To answer, we must revisit the turn of the millennium, when the .com companies bubble turned technological optimism into historic losses. Between 1995 and 2000, the internet created an unprecedented investment environment — and also the perfect setting for one of the greatest crises in the history of modern financial markets.

At the time, any business with “internet” in the name attracted billions, even without profit, cash, or a sustainable model. The result was a collapse that wiped out entire companies, dropped the Nasdaq index by 75%, and destroyed about US$ 5 trillion in market value. Today, with astronomical valuations in sectors such as artificial intelligence, blockchain, and metaverse, many analysts are wondering: are we about to experience a new bubble?

How the Internet Created the Ground for the Bubble

The early 90s were marked by the rapid advancement of commercial internet. The Mosaic Browser appeared in 1993, followed by Netscape, which popularized online browsing. Companies like Amazon were just startups, and Apple was on the brink of bankruptcy. Even so, investors believed that the digital world would completely transform commerce, finance, and communication.

The economic climate was favorable: low interest rates, falling unemployment, and euphoria about the “new economy”. The press praised young billionaires and companies with futuristic names, and traditional metrics like profit and margin were replaced by access and registration numbers. This combination created the perfect environment for a speculative bubble.

Classic Examples of Excess and Failure

The case of Pets.com is one of the most remembered. Founded in 1998 to sell pet products online, the company burned money on free shipping and heavy marketing, including commercials during the Super Bowl. In less than two years, it went bankrupt.

Another example is Webvan, created to revolutionize supermarket delivery. It received over US$ 400 million in capital before even starting operations, built expensive distribution centers and a fleet of its own. The result was a collapse in less than 24 months. eToys.com, valued at US$ 8 billion, also did not survive.

These stories show how venture capital, when driven only by euphoria, can accelerate collapse.

The Coyote Effect and the Bubble Burst

In March 2000, the Nasdaq index reached its historical peak. Ten days later, it began a decline that would destroy three-quarters of its value. In two years, one in five companies that went public in 1999 had disappeared. The burst revealed that many companies had no revenue, and that the model of unlimited growth was unsustainable.

Economists point out three elements for crises of this magnitude: fire (innovation), wind (easy capital), and fuel (greed). The .com bubble had them all.

Who Survived and Thrived

Some companies managed to weather the storm. Amazon, which lost 90% of its value, focused on efficiency and expansion. Apple, saved by an investment from Microsoft and the return of Steve Jobs, launched the iPod and began its rise to become the most valuable brand in the world. These cases show that businesses with solid fundamentals can withstand deep crises.

Are We Living in a New Bubble?

Today, we see startups with billion-dollar losses and promises of disruption similar to those of the 90s. The difference is that current giants, such as Apple, Microsoft, and Google, have strong cash reserves and proven models. Nevertheless, sectors like artificial intelligence and blockchain show signs of overvaluation that worry analysts.

The central lesson is clear: profit, cash generation, and real value delivery remain the foundation of survival. Without this, any project could repeat the script of Pets.com.

Do you think today’s market is repeating the mistakes of the past? Or do you believe that we have learned from the .com bubble and are better prepared to avoid a new bubble? Share your opinion in the comments — your perspective can enrich the debate.

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Bruno Teles

Falo sobre tecnologia, inovação, petróleo e gás. Atualizo diariamente sobre oportunidades no mercado brasileiro. Com mais de 7.000 artigos publicados nos sites CPG, Naval Porto Estaleiro, Mineração Brasil e Obras Construção Civil. Sugestão de pauta? Manda no brunotelesredator@gmail.com

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