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Market Instability Today: U.S. Consumer Inflation, Risk of U.S. Government Shutdown, and Fiscal Target Flexibility in Brazil.

Escrito por Paulo Nogueira
Publicado em 16/11/2023 às 19:36
Atualizado em 16/11/2023 às 19:56
mercados financeiros, inflação, investimentos, juros, resultado líquido, Vale, presidente, títulos verdes, cartel de petróleo, corretora, ações, bancão, Wall Street.
(Imagem: Reprodução/Euronext)
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The Results of the U.S. Consumer Inflation Index May Ease the Impact of National Measures and Geopolitical Conflicts.

This Tuesday, the movement of financial markets is conditioned by the inflation numbers for consumers in the U.S. in October. The expectation is for a slowdown in price increases, which may contribute to the continued recovery of stock markets at the beginning of November.

Analysis from analysts indicates that the direction of risk assets will significantly depend on these numbers. If the expectation materializes, the trend is that there will be support for the recovery of the stock markets, which has been positive so far.

If inflation rates are above expectations, this may lead investors to worry about the possibility of interest rates rising even further, according to statements from Federal Reserve officials. This could significantly affect the behavior of financial markets.

On the other hand, if inflation comes in better than expected, this indicator may mitigate some issues such as the easing of the fiscal target in Brazil, international geopolitical tensions, and the risk of a possible government shutdown in the United States. Investors may focus more on the positive inflation data and less on external risk factors.

The release of the consumer inflation numbers in the United States for October is scheduled for 10:30 AM and will be highly anticipated by investors.

The Reflections of Magazine Luiza‘s Return to Profit and the Accounting Adjustment Revealed by the Retailer, as well as the Results of JBS, Marfrig, and Azul in the Investment Market.

At this moment, investors will be analyzing the impacts of Magazine Luiza‘s return to profit and the accounting adjustment disclosed by the retailer, in addition to the results of the companies JBS, Marfrig, and Azul.

Moreover, it is important to consider that the holiday occurring tomorrow, which will keep the Brazilian stock market closed, may affect the liquidity of the market today, influencing not only the national scenario but also the global scenario.

To stay informed about the repercussions of these events on your investments, follow the market coverage from Seu Dinheiro.

Magazine Luiza (MGLU3) overcame its losses and reported a profit of R$ 331.2 million in the third quarter, but also made an accounting adjustment. The company had not recorded a positive net result since the fourth quarter of 2021. To learn more, visit the link: Read here

The National Mining Agency and the Civil Defense have suspended operations at a mine of Vale in Mariana, Minas Gerais, due to the lack of evidence of stability. This measure was taken after the company failed to provide sufficient evidence regarding the safety of the operation. Currently, an inspection is underway to determine the next actions that the mining company should take.

Source: Seu Dinheiro

The meeting between the world’s most powerful leaders, Biden and Xi, promises to address controversial and thorny issues, according to members of the U.S. government. The meeting, scheduled for Wednesday, is not expected to avoid sensitive topics.

Asymmetrical Impact

Columnist Matheus Spiess discusses the illusion of stability in the United States and how interest rates, fiscal risk, domestic politics, and tensions with China will play a crucial role in the direction of markets until the end of 2023. Fiscal uncertainty, the threat of a possible shutdown, and political division are undermining investor confidence.

The National Treasury made the pioneering issuance of green bonds in dollars in the external market, marking a significant milestone in advancing sustainable finance in the country. The green bonds were launched in September, but the issuance was carefully planned to find the best opportunity in the market. The first bond will mature in 2031, demonstrating the government’s commitment to sustainability and financial innovation.

The OPEC forecasts a scenario of declining fuel prices in Brazil, despite expectations of rising oil prices. Petrobras announced a cut in gasoline and diesel prices on October 19.

XP (XPBR31) reported a record profit in the third quarter and announced a billion-dollar dividend payout. This is the second time that the broker has distributed dividends since going public on Nasdaq in December 2019. In September of this year, the company paid out US$ 320 million in dividends. Now, check the numbers and find out how much may be credited to shareholders this time.

RIDING THE SAME WAVE

Itaúsa (ITSA4) took advantage of the appreciation of XP shares to achieve a record profit and announce the payment of dividends. The highest recurring net profit in Itaú’s holding history was driven by the operational performance of invested companies and the appreciation of XP shares.

PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS
This company listed on B3 will benefit shareholders with an increase in dividends; however, the market reacts negatively to the results of the third quarter of 2023, leading to a sharp drop in the shares.
Despite the higher profit in the third quarter of 2023, the market reaction was negatively influenced by the company’s balance sheet, which is responsible for famous brands such as Adria and Piraquê.

The Morgan Stanley, one of the largest banks on Wall Street, is facing difficulties that have raised concerns in the financial market. In recent months, its shares have fallen more than 14%, and in the previous six months, they dropped 8.5%, a worse performance than its competitors. Learn more about what is behind this decline and how it has affected the institution.

I hope you have a wonderful day and enjoy a great holiday too!

Source: Money Times

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Paulo Nogueira

Eletrotécnica formado em umas das instituições de ensino técnico do país, o Instituto Federal Fluminense - IFF ( Antigo CEFET), atuei diversos anos na áreas de petróleo e gás offshore, energia e construção. Hoje com mais de 8 mil publicações em revistas e blogs online sobre o setor de energia, o foco é prover informações em tempo real do mercado de empregabilidade do Brasil, macro e micro economia e empreendedorismo. Para dúvidas, sugestões e correções, entre em contato no e-mail informe@en.clickpetroleoegas.com.br. Vale lembrar que não aceitamos currículos neste contato.

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