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Projected Deficit of R$ 73.5 Billion Drops to R$ 30.2 Billion After Offset of Court Orders and Additional Freeze

Published on 23/09/2025 at 08:04
Déficit cai para R$ 30,2 bi com congelamento extra e abatimento de precatórios
Déficit cai para R$ 30,2 bi com congelamento extra e abatimento de precatórios
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The Extra Freeze Increased to R$ 12.1 Billion and Helped Reduce the Projected Fiscal Shortfall.

According to g1, the government expanded the expense freeze and raised the extra freeze to R$ 12.1 billion, a measure announced to strengthen compliance with the fiscal target. The initiative was presented as a way to ensure budgetary discipline within the framework’s rules.

Still according to g1, with the deduction of R$ 43.3 billion in court orders and the new round of containment, the initially projected deficit of R$ 73.5 billion drops to R$ 30.2 billion.

The final result falls within the allowed margin of the target, which permits a deficit of up to R$ 31 billion.

How the Court Order Deduction Works

The court orders are judicial debts that can be removed from the calculation of the fiscal target. This exclusion, provided by law, reduces the immediate impact on public accounts, but does not eliminate the obligation to pay.

In practice, the deduction is an accounting maneuver that allows for relief in the primary result without altering the real amount of the government’s financial commitments.

Why the Extra Freeze Was Expanded

The increase in the resource freeze is due to the rise in mandatory expenses, such as BPC, health, salary allowance, and unemployment insurance.

At the same time, the government anticipates a decrease in spending on pensions, personnel, and subsidies.

This adjustment creates space for the fiscal target to be met without drastic cuts in investments or immediate tax increases.

The details regarding which ministries and programs will be affected will be released by the end of the month.

The Role of the Fiscal Framework

The framework limits the real growth of expenses to up to 70% of revenue, with a ceiling of 2.5% per year.

If the target is not met, the expansion drops to 50%, further restricting the spending capacity.

The aim is to curb the advance of the public debt and provide predictability to the market, reducing pressure on interest rates.

Recent History of Public Accounts

In 2022, there was a surplus after eight years of deficit, but the result was considered atypical. In 2023, the accounts closed with a deficit of R$ 230.5 billion, influenced by the payment of overdue court orders and extraordinary expenses.

For 2025, the initial projection was a deficit of R$ 73.5 billion.

With the deduction of court orders and the extra freeze, the amount drops to R$ 30.2 billion, bringing the government closer to the established target.

The strategy of combining extra freeze and deduction of court orders reduces the deficit and signals fiscal commitment, but also raises doubts about the quality of this adjustment and its impacts on essential services.

Do you believe that the extra freeze genuinely ensures balance or only postpones deeper reforms?

Leave your opinion in the comments and join the debate.

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Denise Gigante
Denise Gigante
25/09/2025 17:41

Onde tem esquerda, tem bandalheira. Ao invés de dar calote nos credores, o pinguço poderia diminuir o consumo de cachaça e ****.

Ana
Ana
23/09/2025 17:19

Sinto cheiro de retrocesso.

Maria Heloisa Barbosa Borges

Falo sobre construção, mineração, minas brasileiras, petróleo e grandes projetos ferroviários e de engenharia civil. Diariamente escrevo sobre curiosidades do mercado brasileiro.

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