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Artificial Intelligence Advances Unchecked And Threatens To Eliminate 92 Million Jobs By 2030

Written by Caio Aviz
Published on 14/07/2025 at 22:39
Homem preocupado em escritório moderno observa robôs e gráficos digitais, com a frase 3D “EXTINÇÃO DE EMPREGOS?” em destaque, representando o impacto da inteligência artificial sobre o mercado de trabalho.
Ambiente corporativo dominado por inteligência artificial, com homem apreensivo diante de robôs e gráficos de queda no emprego.
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Companies And Governments Mobilize To Understand How AI Can Eliminate Jobs, Transform Roles, And Challenge Professionals In Many Sectors

Since 2023, as new technologies advance at an accelerated pace, a silent and constant transformation is underway in the global labor market.
Therefore, the advancement of artificial intelligence (AI) now threatens up to 92 million jobs, according to an estimate by the World Economic Forum released in January 2024.

Moreover, according to data from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), more than 25% of jobs are at high risk of disappearing by 2030.
Consequently, developed economies are particularly vulnerable, as up to 60% of positions may be affected by automation, according to an OECD report from June 2024.

On the other hand, according to the World Economic Forum, the adoption of AI is rapidly advancing, especially in global companies such as Amazon, Microsoft, Shopify, and Duolingo, which, since 2023, have been promoting mass layoffs and restructuring to incorporate large-scale automation.

International Study Shows Office Areas Are Most Threatened

First of all, it is important to emphasize that the changing scenario does not only affect low-skilled jobs.
Thus, roles such as programmer, data analyst, accountant, and technical writer are among the most threatened, according to the OECD report released in June 2024.
Additionally, the World Economic Forum confirmed that, in advanced economies, jobs requiring high education may be easily replaced by AI systems by 2030.

However, professions related to physical effort and direct interaction, such as laborers, firefighters, and caregivers, remain more protected from automation in the upcoming decade.
This happens because, according to the OECD report, technology still encounters limitations in replicating manual tasks and human contact.

Major Companies Anticipate the Future of Work With AI

Indeed, Amazon and Shopify are already using AI to reassess their workforce since early 2023.
In fact, Amazon publicly announced that it intends to reduce teams as AI takes over repetitive tasks.
In this sense, Shopify, starting in February 2024, made it mandatory to justify new hires, demonstrating that the role cannot be performed by artificial intelligence.

Moreover, mass layoffs also affected companies like Microsoft and Duolingo in the early months of 2024, highlighting that the transformation is not only technological but also social and economic.

Experts Evaluate Scenario: Risks And New Opportunities Arise With AI

On the other hand, despite the warnings, optimism is also present among economists.
Indeed, Enzo Weber from the IAB Institute in Germany stated in March 2024 that AI tends to transform work rather than simply eliminate it.
Thus, for Weber, “technology enhances efficiency and allows the creation of new roles.”

According to the expert, a Harvard study published in May 2024 reinforces the positive outlook.
According to the report, automation can increase productivity and even raise the number of jobs in some sectors by creating demand for new skills.

Protected Roles: Human Contact And Physical Tasks Remain Essential

Therefore, even in the face of rapid automation, jobs requiring manual skills, creativity, or direct interaction remain safer.
Among them, the following stand out:

  • Construction Workers
  • Caregivers And Health Professionals
  • Firefighters And Rescue Teams
  • Maintenance Technicians And Essential Services

In this way, the OECD estimates that 75% of occupations will need to adapt, while only a quarter will face a high risk of extinction, according to the report from June 2024.
Therefore, flexibility and continuous learning become indispensable differentiators.

Challenges And Ethical Dilemmas Mobilize Governments And Society

In this context, the discussion about the dignity of work transcends borders.
Indeed, in February 2024, Pope Leo 14 drew global attention to the need to protect human values in the face of the AI revolution.
For this reason, governments and international entities are discussing ways to ensure fair transitions, focusing on training and social security.

Moreover, adaptation and retraining are the keywords.
Harvard experts and the IAB Institute have been advocating since March 2024 for massive investments in education and training to prepare workers for new roles.

Editorial Rigor And Transparency Guide Coverage

Finally, all information presented in this article has been sourced from organizations such as the World Economic Forum (January 2024), OECD (June 2024), IAB Institute (March 2024), and academic reports from Harvard (May 2024).
The aim is to inform transparently and accurately, without exaggerated promises or unfounded speculations.

What To Expect From The Future Of Work With Artificial Intelligence?

In summary, the labor market is undergoing an unprecedented upheaval, with opportunities and risks coexisting with each new wave of technological innovation.
The key to survival and growth will lie in the ability to adapt, continuous training, and the pursuit of skills that complement machines, rather than merely replace them.

Therefore, do you believe your profession is protected or will it have to reinvent itself in the face of the rise of artificial intelligence? Share your view!in the face of the rise of artificial intelligence? Share your view!

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Caio Aviz

Escrevo sobre o mercado offshore, petróleo e gás, vagas de emprego, energias renováveis, mineração, economia, inovação e curiosidades, tecnologia, geopolítica, governo, entre outros temas. Buscando sempre atualizações diárias e assuntos relevantes, exponho um conteúdo rico, considerável e significativo. Para sugestões de pauta e feedbacks, faça contato no e-mail: avizzcaio12@gmail.com.

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