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According to Austin Rating, Brazil’s GDP: Brazil Exits List of the 10 Largest Economies in the World and Drops to 11th. Understand the Causes and Impacts of the Decline
What happened to the Brazilian economy, who made the new calculation, and why does it matter now?
According to a study released this Thursday (4) by Austin Rating, Brazil’s GDP: Brazil Exits List of the 10 Largest Economies in the World and Drops to 11th after growing only 0.1% in the third quarter, according to IBGE.
The change occurs at a time when other countries are advancing more rapidly on the international scene, pressing Brazil to deal with productivity and competitiveness challenges.
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Brazil Loses Position and Ranks 11th in the World GDP Ranking
The report shows that Brazil’s GDP: Brazil Exits List of the 10 Largest Economies in the World and Drops to 11th, surpassed by Russia, which jumped to 9th place after surpassing Brazil and Canada.
In the previous ranking, the Russians were only in 11th place, reinforcing the change in the global scenario.
The study indicates that the Brazilian economy is expected to close the cycle with US$ 2.257 billion, a figure that, while significant, was insufficient to keep the country in the group of the ten largest powers.
According to Austin Rating, “There have been significant position changes among the nations that make up the 15 largest economies in the world by GDP in US$ and that account for 75% of global GDP.”
These projections take into account the updated IMF outlook, which revised growth, inflation, and exchange rate estimates for all member countries.
Factors That Influenced Brazil’s Decline in the Ranking
Even with some economic recovery throughout the year, the country did not keep pace with the growth of other nations.
However, Austin Rating highlights positive elements, such as the appreciation of the real and improved growth expectations, which brought Brazil closer to Canada and Italy.
The study reinforces that the international scenario also weighed on the Brazilian performance.
The institution cited the weakening of the dollar, a result of the cycle of falling interest rates in the United States.
Additionally, there is the possibility of an even greater impact in 2026 due to the likely appointment of Kevin Hassett as the head of the Federal Reserve, the Fed.
Brazilian Growth Ranks 34th Among Global Economies
Although the country avoided a downturn in 2025, the 0.1% expansion recorded in the third quarter left Brazil far from the top positions in the growth ranking.
Thus, Brazil’s GDP: Brazil Exits List of the 10 Largest Economies in the World and Drops to 11th also reflects the recent poor performance compared to other nations.
The study shows that Brazil ranked only 34th among the countries analyzed.
Performances such as those of China, Portugal, and Spain were above Brazil’s during this period.
The positive highlights of the quarter, according to the survey, were:
Israel: 3%
Malaysia: 2.4%
Singapore: 2.4%
The largest declines were recorded in:
Thailand: –0.6%
Switzerland: –0.5%
Japan: –0.4%
In contrast, in the first quarter of 2025, Brazil was ranked as the 5th largest GDP growth in the world, when it grew 1.4%.
The decline in performance indicates, therefore, a significant slowdown over the course of the year.
Prospects for 2026: Can Brazil Regain Position?
Even with the current loss of space, experts point out that the country can still react.
The currency appreciation, inflation stability, and a more favorable external scenario could help Brazil regain positions in the future.
However, to return among the largest economic powers in the world, it will be necessary to intensify policies on productivity, investment, and competitiveness.
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