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The Trade War Between the U.S. and China Caused Losses of R$ 141.8 Billion at B3, Driven by Petrobras and Vale

Written by Bruno Teles
Published on 11/04/2025 at 16:11
Guerra comercial entre China e EUA derruba a Bolsa brasileira e dispara o dólar acima de R$ 5,94
Guerra comercial entre China e EUA derruba a Bolsa brasileira e dispara o dólar acima de R$ 5,94
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In Just 8 Days, Companies Listed on B3 Lost R$ 141.8 Billion and Petrobras Led the Losses with a Decline of R$ 88.7 Billion

The new escalation of the trade war between the United States and China triggered a chain reaction in global markets — and Brazil felt the impact. Between April 2 and 10, 2025, companies listed on B3 lost R$ 141.8 billion in market value, according to a survey by Elos Ayta.

Only Petrobras saw its value drop by R$ 88.7 billion, reaching R$ 417.6 billion — the lowest level since August 2023. Vale lost R$ 17.7 billion, while PetroRio declined by R$ 5.5 billion. The dollar soared, reaching R$ 5.9542, reflecting the increase in tariffs imposed by Washington and Beijing.

Petrobras, Vale, and Banks Drive the Stock Market Drop

At the center of the devaluation is the energy and commodities sector, directly linked to foreign policy. The three largest drops were from Petrobras, Vale, and PetroRio. Together, these companies accounted for 78% of B3’s total loss during the period.

Banks and telecommunications were also affected. Banco do Brasil saw a decline of R$ 4.5 billion, and the operator TIM lost R$ 2.6 billion in market value. The total capitalization of the Brazilian Stock Exchange fell from R$ 4.22 trillion to R$ 4.08 trillion in just eight days.

Record Tariffs Between US and China Intensify the Trade War

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The trigger for the chaos was the drastic increase in tariffs between the two largest economies in the world. After China imposed an 84% tariff on American products, the US responded with 125%. Subsequently, China restricted Hollywood films, and the US raised tariffs on Chinese items to 145%.

This movement increased risk aversion among investors. Emerging-market currencies, such as the real, felt significant pressure. The spot dollar rose by 1.67%, trading at R$ 5.9452. At its peak for the day, the currency reached R$ 5.9542.

Dollar Soars Even with Deflation in the US

Despite the 0.1% drop in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) in March, the trade war had a greater impact on investors’ perceptions. The DXY index, which compares the dollar with other currencies, fell nearly 2%, but the real did not follow the external movement.

Expectations regarding the Federal Reserve’s decision changed. Previously, 79.6% expected interest rates to be maintained. Now, that number has dropped to 73.4%. Even with this expectation of lower interest rates, concerns about the tariff war prevailed, fueling the rise of the dollar and the outflow of foreign capital.

Ibovespa Plummets and Oil Drops More than 4%

In Brazil, Ibovespa mirrored global pessimism. The index fell by 1%, breaking the 127,000-point mark. The trading volume was high, reflecting intense selling activity.

Oil was also impacted. Brent fell by more than 4%, while WTI, the American benchmark, plunged by over 5% and traded below US$ 60 per barrel. The pressure on prices is a direct reflection of the trade war, which threatens the global demand for energy.

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Cesar Lucini
Cesar Lucini
11/04/2025 18:20

Fico imaginando o que diriam se alguém de esquerda fizesse o que Trump e Bolsonaro fizeram (fazem)

Edson
Edson
Em resposta a  Cesar Lucini
12/04/2025 17:30

Diriam, até que enfim fizeram algo certo

Bruno Teles

Falo sobre tecnologia, inovação, petróleo e gás. Atualizo diariamente sobre oportunidades no mercado brasileiro. Com mais de 7.000 artigos publicados nos sites CPG, Naval Porto Estaleiro, Mineração Brasil e Obras Construção Civil. Sugestão de pauta? Manda no brunotelesredator@gmail.com

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