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OPEC+ Increased Production By 100,000 Barrels Per Day, Though The U.S. Likely Expected A Larger Increase

Written by Paulo Nogueira
Published on 05/08/2022 at 08:36
Updated on 05/08/2022 at 08:40
opep petróleo países
Fonte: TeleSUR
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Comment by Noah Barrett, Research Analyst for Energy and Utilities at Janus Henderson Investors, Regarding Today’s OPEC Meeting

It was a fairly quick meeting of the OPEC+ today, with an outcome that should support oil prices. OPEC+ agreed to increase production by 100k b/d in September, and the increase will be shared among member countries.

Given that some countries are currently underproducing their quotas, this means they may not be able to fulfill their part of the 100kb/d increase in September. Therefore, while we see an increase of 100kb/d (which is quite small), the actual increase in supply may be even lower than that.

The U.S. likely expected a larger increase in production, especially following Biden’s recent trip to the Middle East. In terms of overall supply/demand management, OPEC’s decision makes sense.

There is still significant uncertainty about oil demand in the middle of this year, driven by concerns around Chinese demand and the potential for an American or even global recession. Additionally, excess capacity remains tight; OPEC’s press release categorized the availability of excess capacity as “severely limited”, which also constrains OPEC’s ability to bring an increased supply of material to the market.

Source: Sherlock Communications | Via Miguel Piñeiro Rodríguez

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Paulo Nogueira

Eletrotécnica formado em umas das instituições de ensino técnico do país, o Instituto Federal Fluminense - IFF ( Antigo CEFET), atuei diversos anos na áreas de petróleo e gás offshore, energia e construção. Hoje com mais de 8 mil publicações em revistas e blogs online sobre o setor de energia, o foco é prover informações em tempo real do mercado de empregabilidade do Brasil, macro e micro economia e empreendedorismo. Para dúvidas, sugestões e correções, entre em contato no e-mail informe@en.clickpetroleoegas.com.br. Vale lembrar que não aceitamos currículos neste contato.

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