Comment by Noah Barrett, Research Analyst for Energy and Utilities at Janus Henderson Investors, Regarding Today’s OPEC Meeting
It was a fairly quick meeting of the OPEC+ today, with an outcome that should support oil prices. OPEC+ agreed to increase production by 100k b/d in September, and the increase will be shared among member countries.
Given that some countries are currently underproducing their quotas, this means they may not be able to fulfill their part of the 100kb/d increase in September. Therefore, while we see an increase of 100kb/d (which is quite small), the actual increase in supply may be even lower than that.
The U.S. likely expected a larger increase in production, especially following Biden’s recent trip to the Middle East. In terms of overall supply/demand management, OPEC’s decision makes sense.
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90 billion barrels of oil, 1.669 trillion cubic feet of natural gas, and 84% of probable reserves in offshore areas are under the Arctic, and the melting ice that opens maritime routes and exposes this energy treasure is turning the North Pole into a strategic dispute between the USA, Russia, China, and Canada for oil, gas, navigation, and military power.
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IBS and CBS regulations change credit reimbursement and raise financial alert in the oil and gas industry
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China puts into operation the largest shallow lithology offshore field in the country, with 79 wells, heavy oil, and a production of 20,000 barrels per day.
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Petrobras announces an investment of R$ 2.8 billion in Amazonas to expand natural gas production in Urucu and modernize the river fleet, boosting energy, logistics, and the regional economy with new vessels adapted for operation in the Amazon.
There is still significant uncertainty about oil demand in the middle of this year, driven by concerns around Chinese demand and the potential for an American or even global recession. Additionally, excess capacity remains tight; OPEC’s press release categorized the availability of excess capacity as “severely limited”, which also constrains OPEC’s ability to bring an increased supply of material to the market.
Source: Sherlock Communications | Via Miguel Piñeiro Rodríguez

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