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Petrobras: Outlook on Oil Reserves and Renewable Energy for the Next 12 Years.

Written by Paulo Nogueira
Published on 29/01/2024 at 15:41
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Fachada do edifício sede da Petrobras (Edise) na Avenida Chile, no Rio de Janeiro – Todos os direitos: EPBR
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2023: Petrobras Ends The Year With 10.9 Billion Boe, Of Which 84% Is Oil And 16% Is Gas. Investments In Renewable Energy And LNG Exports.

The modern world runs on oil. Petrobras Has Reserves Of Oil And Gas For Over 12 Years. This energy source is vital to the global economy, being the main raw material for the production of various fuels and derived products.

Recently, an attack in the Middle East resulted in the deaths of Americans, causing a new escalation in conflicts among oil-producing nations. This event impacted the oil barrel market, driving prices of oil equivalent up and raising concerns about the security of transportation routes for this important hydrocarbon.

Oil Reserves Reach New Record at Petrobras

The oil giant Petrobras has achieved significant milestones in terms of oil reserves in recent years. With a total of 10.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent (boe), the company ensures a steady production for over 12 years, maintaining the current production level. This is vital for its position in the oil market, especially considering the reserves certified by DeGolyer and MacNaughton (D&M) that follow the SEC criteria, resulting in 84% oil and condensate and 16% natural gas. Furthermore, according to the ANP/SPE criteria, the company holds 11.1 billion boe.

New Investments To Increase Oil Reserves

The constant increase in oil reserves has been a priority for Petrobras, which added 1.5 billion boe throughout 2023. Even after accounting for the production of 900 million boe and disinvestment of 200 million boe, the company still recorded a net increase of 400 million boe in reserves. This growth was mainly driven by new volumes found in the Búzios, Tupi, and Atapu fields in the Santos Basin. Additionally, the declaration of commerciality for the gas fields of Raia Manta and Raia Pintada, operated by Equinor, also significantly contributed.

Future Challenges For Petrobras In The Oil Market

Despite recent advances in oil reserves, Petrobras is already preparing for a possible decline, particularly regarding the pre-salt, expected in the next decade. With production estimated to peak between 2029 and 2030, the company emphasizes the importance of continuing to invest in maximizing the recovery factor and exploring new frontiers to replenish oil and gas reserves. Furthermore, the challenge of revitalizing the country’s largest oil and gas field, Tupi, which has already entered a production decline phase, is also among the company’s priorities.

Exploration In The Equatorial Margin And Environmental Obstacles

Amid these challenges, Petrobras focuses its attention on the Equatorial Margin, a region extending from Rio Grande do Norte to Oiapoque (AP) and encompassing several basins, including Foz do Amazonas, Pará-Maranhão, Barreirinhas, Ceará, and Potiguar. However, the company faces opposition from Ibama, especially in the Foz do Amazonas, which has hindered its operations in the area. Conversely, the oil company has progressed in exploring the Potiguar Basin, drilling wells and identifying the presence of hydrocarbon, although uncertainties regarding economic viability still exist.

Geopolitical And Economic Impact Of Oil

In addition to the situation of Petrobras, the oil market is also influenced by geopolitical events, such as the recent attack on a military base in Jordan, attributed to militants supported by Iran. These incidents may further pressure the price of WTI oil, which has already seen a 6% increase in the past week, also reflecting the better economic performance of the US and stimulus announcements in China.

Source: EPBR

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Paulo Nogueira

Eletrotécnica formado em umas das instituições de ensino técnico do país, o Instituto Federal Fluminense - IFF ( Antigo CEFET), atuei diversos anos na áreas de petróleo e gás offshore, energia e construção. Hoje com mais de 8 mil publicações em revistas e blogs online sobre o setor de energia, o foco é prover informações em tempo real do mercado de empregabilidade do Brasil, macro e micro economia e empreendedorismo. Para dúvidas, sugestões e correções, entre em contato no e-mail informe@en.clickpetroleoegas.com.br. Vale lembrar que não aceitamos currículos neste contato.

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