Fuel Becomes More Expensive Every Day. Ethanol Price Hits Nearly R$ 5 and Gasoline Exceeds R$ 6; Brazilians Are Stunned and Don’t Know What to Do
The week started with a hit to the consumers’ wallets. Several gas stations raised their prices of gasoline to R$ 6.099 per liter, leaving many drivers astonished. There are two justifications: the skyrocketing prices of ethanol and the suspension of discounts given by distributors.
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The president of the Retail Trade Union of Fuels and Lubricants of the Federal District (Sindicombustíveis-DF), Paulo Tavares, stated that just last weekend, the price of ethanol increased by R$ 0.30 per liter. The impact on gas pumps and consumers’ wallets was R$ 0.20 per liter.
“It was the second weekend of ethanol price increases. As alcohol represents 27% of the gasoline blend, there is no way not to pass on the costs (to drivers),” says Tavares. He emphasizes that the strong rise in ethanol prices is due to the crop failure of sugarcane caused by drought.
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The situation regarding fuel prices in Brazil is critical, according to Tavares. He mentioned that there are gas stations in various cities in the countryside without gasoline and ethanol.
And it seems that the chaos will continue to grow, with no perspective of normalization anytime soon. The new sugarcane harvest, which should have started in May, will only reach the mills in July.
Therefore, consumers should prepare for further price increases for ethanol and gasoline. “This time, the blame is not on Petrobras. The problems lie in the alcohol market,” stresses the president of Sindicombustíveis-DF. There are gas stations in Brasília where the price of ethanol exceeds R$ 4.70.
Oil Prices Rise Last Friday (05/14) and Petrobras May Further Increase Gasoline Prices; Ethanol Gains Advantage and Prices Are Expected to Drop at the Mills
The price of a barrel of oil rose by 1.86% (US$ 68.15) last Friday (05/14), widening the gap for its derived fuel. If the upward trend in crude oil prices in London continues, the Brazilian oil company Petrobras may increase gasoline and diesel prices at refineries in the coming weeks.
This way, ethanol aims at the rising oil prices to outcompete gasoline and avoid pressure. It is expected that after consecutive increases, ethanol prices will drop at the mills by the end of the week. With a reduction, or at the very least stabilization, following decreases in sales prices from distributors, the biofuel should regain competitiveness with gasoline and avoid pressure.
Direct Sale of Ethanol from Mills Approved by the CCJ Promises to Stimulate Competition and Curb the Increase in Gasoline Prices at Fuel Stations
On May 5, the Commission on Constitution and Justice (CCJ) of the Chamber of Deputies approved the permission for the direct sale of ethanol from mills – bypassing distributors, directly to fuel stations. This new measure could curb the increase in gasoline and diesel prices and relieve Brazilians’ wallets.
It is still not possible to know exactly how much the direct sale of ethanol would impact the price of the biofuel in Brazil, as there is a significant dependency on industrial logistics in each state. However, a study by Esalq-Log in 2019 showed that the average cost of transporting ethanol in the state of São Paulo would drop by around 30% with direct sales.
There are also estimates that concentrating the margins of production and distribution with the producer and increasing competition among millers and distributors in the market could reduce – by up to 20 cents per liter – the prices of hydrated ethanol for the end consumer.

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