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With High Interest Rates and Global Tensions, Discover What Big Investors Know to Protect Their Assets and Identify the Best Opportunities in a Challenging Scenario.
In a moment of geopolitical tensions, uncertainties regarding Brazilian public accounts, and with interest rates at their highest level in nearly 20 years, understanding what big investors know that you don’t can be the difference between protecting your assets or losing them to volatility. While small investors react to the daily “noise,” the managers of the largest funds in the market have already adjusted their portfolios based on long-term strategies.
Based on analyses by experts from giants such as Bradesco, Itaú BBA, and BlackRock, consulted by the g1 portal, we reveal the valuable clues they offer. The main lesson is clear: the secret is not in predicting the future, but in preparing for it, focusing on solid fundamentals and the trends that really matter.
Understanding Short-Term Investments
Before knowing what big investors know, it is necessary to understand what they choose to ignore. The market today is bombarded by three major “noises” that create panic, but which for managers, are just part of the scenario.
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Brazilian city bets on the business environment to generate jobs and attract investments in the energy sector — secretary reveals strategy at Macaé Energy 2026.
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50 viaducts, 4 tunnels, 28 bridges, and 40 kilometers of bike paths: BR-262 in Espírito Santo will receive 8.6 billion reais for the largest engineering project in the state’s history, inspired by the Immigrant Highway in São Paulo.
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Brazil produces too much clean energy and doesn’t know what to do with it: over 20% of solar and wind capacity was wasted in 2025 while investors flee and 509 renewable generation projects were abandoned in the last year.
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Piauí will produce a new fuel that replaces diesel without needing to change anything in the truck’s engine and reduces pollutant gas emissions by half: truck drivers from all over the Northeast are already celebrating the news that will arrive later this decade.
The “Tariff” of Trump: the imposition of a 50% tariff on all Brazilian products by the United States, announced by Donald Trump, has a clear political bias. The measure, justified as a response to the treatment given to former President Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil, generates uncertainties in currency and exports, but is seen as a short-term pressure.
The IOF Stalemate in Brazil: the government’s attempt to raise the IOF to meet the fiscal target, followed by the Congressional rejection of the decree and an intervention by the STF, exposed political instability and the government’s difficulty in balancing public accounts.
The Selic at 15% Per Year: the decision of the Central Bank to raise interest rates to their highest level in nearly two decades makes credit more expensive and slows down the economy, but also increases the attractiveness of fixed-income investments.
The Investment Strategy of the Giants: Ignore the Panic, Focus on the Long Term
So, what do big investors know that you don’t? The first lesson is: don’t make decisions based on the panic generated by the day’s news.
“The main challenge is to help the client detach from the short-term noise, which can harm their assets,” says Carlos Machado, Chief Strategist at Bradesco Global Private Bank. He reminds us that major shocks, like the spike in oil prices after the invasion of Ukraine, tend to normalize over time.
This view is shared by Victor Natal, strategist at Itaú BBA: “Investing is a long-term endeavor. The most important thing is to preserve capital, as it ensures purchasing power”. For them, the market is not for quick enrichment, but to maintain and increase the value of your money over time.
How to Choose Good Investments: Micro and Macro Analysis
The second lesson about what big investors know is how to analyze an opportunity. According to Victor Natal, choosing a good asset involves two complementary analyses:
Microeconomic Analysis: is looking at the asset itself. If it’s a stock, it means understanding the health of the company: its revenue, debt, cash flow, and position in the sector.
Macroeconomic Analysis: is understanding the overall scenario. How do inflation, interest rates, GDP, and exchange rates affect all investments? In Brazil, fiscal policy is a crucial factor.
“The ideal is when there is convergence between micro and macro. That’s where the analyst identifies which companies are favored or harmed by the scenario”, adds Natal.
Where They Are Betting:
While fixed income benefits from high interest rates in the short term, big investors are already focusing on the sectors that will lead the global economy in the coming years. Cristiano Castro, business director at BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, points to five areas with the highest potential for appreciation:
Artificial Intelligence (AI)
Energy (focusing on energy transition)
Semiconductors (the “brains” of technology)
Cryptoassets
Biotechnology
These sectors represent the major technological and economic transformations underway, and this is where intelligent capital is being allocated for the long term.
And you, how are you adjusting your portfolio in light of this scenario? Which of these trends catches your attention the most? Leave your opinion in the comments.
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