English 
Spanish 
5 min read
0 comments
In an increasingly unstable world, the possibility of a Third World War is a topic that raises numerous concerns. But, in the midst of this global turmoil, how would Brazil position itself? Is the South American country really immune to being involved in a conflict of global proportions?
The renowned political scientist and HOC professor shared his views in a recent appearance on the Market Makers podcast, and his statements bring to light deep reflections on the Brazil's role in a war scenario.
According to Professor HOC, the probability of Brazil entering a war is extremely low. “Brazil will not get into trouble because it will not enter the war”, stated HOC, highlighting that, for the country to become involved in a conflict of this size, there would need to be “moral clarity on which side is the right one”.
In this sense, he highlights, however, that the right side may not win, and this could pressure Brazil to review its position. Still, he considers this hypothesis unlikely.
- Explorers find abandoned NATO military bases in Italy
- New pandemic on the way? China goes on high alert after confirming its FIRST OUTBREAK of the new variant of mpox, previously known as monkeypox
- Brazil lost 33 km of strategic territory to the United Kingdom in a classic example of the lasting impact of British imperialism in South America
- Trump friend suggests Mexico become part of the United States
The advantage of Brazil's geographic location
One of the main reasons for this optimistic view is Brazil's geographic location.. According to the political scientist, South America is one of the most isolated regions in the world, which makes it unlikely that Brazil will be directly involved in a global war.
“No place takes as long to get to as South America. It is the most isolated continent in the world,” said HOC.
Taiwan and the prospect of global conflict
When asked about the possibility of an imminent war involving powers such as China and the United States, HOC was categorical, saying that a war should not happen this or next year.
“There will be no third world war this year or next year”. He explained that, according to analyzes carried out by experts in Taiwan, China is not yet militarily prepared for an invasion of Taiwan, which postpones the risk of a global conflict to a horizon of 5 to 10 years.
China's preparations: a warning sign?
Even though war is not imminent, China's preparations do not go unnoticed. HOC mentioned that “China needs to be militarily prepared for an amphibious invasion, and today it is not.”
He also highlighted the China's economic movements, such as the skyrocketing increase in fuel stocks and the massive purchase of gold, as clear signs that the country is preparing for the future.
“All Chinese movements in the economic field are to create other exchange routes and operating mechanisms without the Swift, without the dollar, without the American financial system”, stated the professor.
Would Brazil be safe in a nuclear war?
If a nuclear war were to occur, Brazil would be in a relatively safe position, according to HOC. He highlighted that the Brazilian central plateau, located in the heart of South America, is one of the furthest points from the sea and, consequently, safer in terms of nuclear attacks.
“Brazil occupies one of the safest places in the world in the event of a nuclear war”, stated the political scientist, reinforcing the idea that the country's geographic isolation would be a strategic advantage.
Brazil's geopolitical position: neutrality or alignment?
However, HOC warns that Brazil needs to be careful when choosing a side in a possible global conflict. If the country allies itself with the wrong side, especially the Axis of Dictatorships, the consequences can be serious.
“Brazil could become the target of retaliation, such as attacks on our ships by the United States,” he stated. According to him, in case of attacks, Brazil's most likely reaction would be neutrality or silence, avoiding declaring war while seeking to maintain good relations with both sides.
Economic opportunities in a war scenario
Despite the risks, HOC sees opportunities for Brazil in a scenario of global conflict. According to the professor, the country could benefit from its position as a major supplier of resources, especially food and raw materials, which become even more valuable in times of war.
“Brazil can emerge as a major supplier of resources, benefiting from its physical distance from the main conflict hotspots”, noted.
Brazil as a global farm
As per HOC, Brazil is seen by many as a “big farm” that supplies the world with food and raw materials. In a war scenario, this feature could become a significant advantage.
“Physically, Brazil occupies one of the safest places in the world in the event of a nuclear war”, reinforced the political scientist, highlighting the country's potential to provide resources to any side of the conflict.
However, the professor warns that Brazil must choose its side carefully, as this decision could complicate its economic situation. The country could become the target of sanctions, impacting several sectors, especially in a war scenario.
HOC highlights that certain sectors of the Brazilian economy, such as defense, could grow substantially, as the global arms race intensifies.
He also sees opportunities in redesigning the global supply chain, suggesting that Brazil could benefit from these changes.
“Brazil should understand that this is the chance for us to evolve our economy”, stated HOC. “There is room for Brazil to pursue other things strategically, and this is a business opportunity,” said the professor.
Investor preparation: exposure and risks
For him, Brazilian investors also need to be aware of possible global changes. HOC advises that exposure to markets such as China should be done with caution, since “China will lose a lot to gain; she will be destroyed.”
According to him, Brazil needs to be prepared for the risks involving the global economy and take advantage of the opportunities that arise in the process.
In any case, HOC's view of the position of the Brazil in a World War 3 scenario, it is, to say the least, thought-provoking. Although the country appears to be relatively safe thanks to its geographic location and status as a global resource provider, political and economic decisions made today could define Brazil's future in a potentially more dangerous world..
In this sense, it is clear that Brazil must be cautious and strategic in navigating these uncertain times. Therefore, we have a question for you, reader: With its geographic isolation and status as a resource supplier, do you think Brazil would really be able to avoid the impacts of a 3rd World War? Or are we underestimating the challenges ahead?
