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Data Show That Public Spending in Brazil Reached R$ 3.6 Trillion This Year, While Congress and Government Adopt Measures That Weaken the New Fiscal Framework.
The public spending in Brazil has already surpassed R$ 3.6 trillion in 2025, according to data released by the Gasto Brasil platform, developed by the Confederation of Commercial and Business Associations of Brazil (CACB) in partnership with the Commercial Association of São Paulo. The amount includes expenses from the Union, states, municipalities, and the Federal District, unveiling the growing pressure on public accounts amid political maneuvers to relax the fiscal framework.
The most recent occurred on September 9, 2025, when Congress enacted the PEC dos Precatórios, removing these expenses from the fiscal ceiling starting in 2026. In parallel, a bill is in progress that excludes the resources from the Social Fund of Pré-Sal from the limitations imposed by the new regime. For specialists, these decisions compromise the credibility of the rules and increase the risks of economic instability.
The Escalation of Public Spending and Its Effects
According to the platform, Brazilian public spending is growing continuously and chaotically.
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The government is considering a temporary subsidy for cooking gas following the spike in oil prices due to the war in Iran and warns about the impact of 20% of imports on the prices paid by families.
Only in 2025, a rise of over R$ 150 billion in excessive salaries is already projected, which puts pressure on the accounts and discourages investments.
For Josinaldo dos Santos, president of the Commercial Association of Santana do Ipanema (AL), the lack of clear limits generates a cascading effect.
He points out that even small towns are now registering billion-dollar figures, showing that the problem is not restricted to the federal government.
This continuous increase creates uncertainty for the market and pressures business confidence.
Investors see fragility when fiscal rules are changed at every difficulty, which makes credit more expensive, reduces competitiveness, and directly affects job generation.
Maneuvers That Weaken the Fiscal Framework
The PEC dos Precatórios is seen as an example of flexibility that masks the problem instead of solving it.
By removing this expense from the ceiling, the government opens up space to spend more in the short term but compromises future predictability.
A similar situation occurs with the attempt to remove resources from the Social Fund of Pré-Sal, originally intended for health and education, from the fiscal calculation.
Economist André Galhardo, from Análise Econômica São Paulo, warns that such measures send the message that Brazil continues to seek temporary solutions instead of facing structural reforms.
For him, the rigidity of mandatory expenses makes the framework increasingly fragile, requiring deep changes to ensure a balance between revenue and expenses.
The Fiscal Dilemma and the Future of the Economy
The pressure for more spending comes from the need to finance social programs, precatórios, and subsidies, but without structural adjustment, the situation tends to worsen.
Without consistent tax and administrative reforms, the situation remains unsustainable, warns Galhardo.
While the government and Congress prioritize immediate relief measures, the risks to the sustainability of public accounts increase.
This scenario generates distrust in the international market, pressures credit rating agencies, and can directly impact interest rates and economic growth.
The record public spending in 2025 shows not only the size of the state machinery but also the difficulty of imposing lasting limits in a country with growing demands.
Without medium- and long-term adjustments, Brazil will remain hostage to maneuvers that erode confidence in the fiscal framework and put into question the economic stability.
And you, do you believe that maneuvers to increase public spending are necessary to maintain social programs and investments or do they merely postpone a larger problem? Share your opinion in the comments — we want to hear from those who live this reality on a daily basis.
Quando o governo faz essas manobras escondendo a realidade quem paga a conta é o mais pobre,com infração e até o risco de não ter dinheiro para benefícios sociais ,este governo caminha para isso descontrole total das contas públicas.
Sim acaba com a credibilidade
Por qual motivo não falam que mais da metade desses 3.6 trilhões são de juros, amortizações, refinanciamento, precatorios…?
Dívida brasileira explodiu na **** militar e até hoje cresce, ocupando quase a metade do orçamento que vai para mãos de 0,1% da população.
Querem cortas da saúde, educação e salário mínimo. POLÍTICO DA NAZIREITA é a metástase do Brasil!
Meu caro quem explodiu estes gasto e este seu governo de nazi esquerda, fica fazendo manobras pra cada vês gastar mais, deixa de Ptotario.