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U.S. Department of Labor Study Indicates That Health, Technology, and Renewable Energies Will Lead Job Creation Until 2034.
The job market in the United States is expected to undergo significant transformations by 2034. According to projections from the U.S. Department of Labor, sectors related to health, technology, and renewable energies will drive the creation of millions of jobs in the coming years.
In contrast, traditional areas such as retail and mining are expected to face contraction. The study, which acts as an “American IBGE,” indicates that demographic changes and accelerated digitalization will be the main drivers of these trends.
The Future of Jobs in the U.S.
According to the survey, the American economy is expected to create 5.2 million net jobs by 2034, representing a growth of 3.1% during the period.
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Although the pace is slower than in the past decade, the projection reveals how social, technological, and environmental transformations are reshaping the demand for professionals.
The standout sector is health and social assistance, which is expected to grow by 8.4%.
The aging population, coupled with the increase in chronic diseases, boosts the demand for doctors, nurses, caregivers, and physical therapists, both in hospitals and in home services.
Technology as a Growth Engine
Technology emerges as another central axis. Professional, scientific, and technical services are expected to grow by 7.5%, driven by advancements in artificial intelligence, data analysis, and software that optimizes the routines of businesses and governments.
The information sector, which includes IT, digital media, and telecommunications, is also expected to expand by 6.5%.
The consumption of streaming, the demand for high-speed internet, and the digitization of communication support this trend.
According to experts, technology not only creates new jobs but also transforms existing ones, requiring constant reskilling and adaptation of professionals.
Moderate Growth Sectors
In addition to health and technology, other sectors are expected to show significant advancement.
Construction, transportation, and storage are driven by urbanization and the growth of e-commerce, which increases the demand for drivers, logistics operators, and warehouse professionals.
Areas such as hospitality, food service, arts, and entertainment are also expected to benefit from the rebound in post-pandemic consumption and new forms of leisure and tourism.
Declining Areas: Retail and Mining
Not all sectors will have the same fate. The retail sector is expected to shrink by 1.2%, pressured by automation and the growth of e-commerce, which reduces the need for salespeople in physical stores.
Additionally, mining, oil, and gas are expected to decline by 1.6%, reflecting the adoption of robots and drones, which make operations more efficient but with less labor.
And Brazil in This Scenario?
Although the projections are for the U.S., the trends are also reflected in Brazil, although at a slower pace.
According to career consultant Taís Targa, factors like the aging population and technological advancements affect both countries, but political, social, and economic obstacles delay the impacts on the Brazilian market.
“Political, social, economic, and bureaucratic issues make changes slower in Brazil. I don’t know if the impacts of the energy transition, for example, will be felt in the medium term,” Targa asserts.
According to her, Brazil typically adopts new trends about five years later than the U.S. However, the rapid recent technological expansion may reduce this gap.
Renewable Energies and New Opportunities
Another relevant point is the energy transition. The increase in demand for electricity, the expansion of electric vehicles, and the need for energy security make sources like solar, wind, and geothermal energy promising areas for job creation.
According to the report, battery and electrical component manufacturing could generate nearly 50,000 new jobs in the next decade.
Professionals such as engineers, maintenance technicians, and system operators will be highly sought after.
How the Study Was Conducted
The survey was conducted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), equivalent to the IBGE in Brazil.
The agency annually reviews its projections, which serve as a reference scenario.
The estimates consider full employment and do not take into account possible unexpected crises.
Furthermore, they are based on historical trends in productivity, established technological advancements, and demographic changes.
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