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Genial/Quaest Survey Reveals Stable Approval for Lula at 52%, While Dollar Rise Concerns 72% of the Population. Fiscal Measures Divide Opinions, but Income Tax Exemption up to R$ 5 Thousand Receives Massive Support. Northeast Remains a Loyal Base, While Southeast Shows Greater Resistance to the Government.
In the second year of his third term, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is a name that continues to divide opinions.
Despite advances and popular measures, such as the Income Tax exemption for incomes up to R$ 5 thousand, a recent survey revealed data that exposes the various layers of approval and criticism of the current government.
General Approval
According to the Genial/Quaest survey, conducted between December 4 and 9, Lula is approved by 52% of the population and disapproved by 47%.
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The Lula government is pursuing re-election and is therefore preparing a package with discounts of up to 80% on debts, subsidies for diesel, gas for 15 million, and energy, after reaching 51% disapproval six months before the election.
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The chamber approves a project that transforms plots of up to 2,000 square meters into official rural properties, allowing thousands of small producers who were invisible to the government to now access credit, tax exemptions, and technical assistance.
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Factory 52, in the USA, cost over $5 billion, covers 270,000 square meters, and manufactures cutting-edge chips: it was named Project of the Year by the world’s largest engineering magazine, marking the global race for semiconductors.
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While BYD lays off 100,000 in China due to falling profits, the factory in Brazil remains strong: the unit in Camaçari, Bahia, could generate up to 20,000 jobs and become an export hub for all of Latin America.
This result, which has remained stable compared to the October survey, indicates that Brazilian society is divided regarding the president’s administration.
A total of 8,598 people were interviewed across all regions of the country, which gives the survey a margin of error of 1 percentage point more or less, with a confidence level of 95%.
In the overall assessment, the data also reveal a balance: 33% classify the government as positive, 31% as negative, and 34% as regular.
Compared to Lula’s first two terms, the current popularity is the lowest: in 2004, the government had a 41% positive evaluation, while in 2008, it reached a remarkable 73%.
Regions and Profiles Supporting Lula
The Northeast continues to be the strongest support base for the president. In this region, 67% of respondents approve of Lula.
Popularity is also significant among people earning up to two minimum wages (63%), among Black voters (59%), and among those over 65 years old (57%).
These data suggest that the government has greater appeal among groups that traditionally face greater socioeconomic vulnerability, highlighting the impact of policies aimed at social inclusion and income redistribution.
Where Lula Faces the Greatest Resistance
On the other hand, disapproval of the Lula government is more evident among Brazilians with incomes above five minimum wages (59%), evangelicals (56%), and residents of the Southeast (55%).
This resistance has also manifested in specific states, such as São Paulo, where disapproval rose from 48% to 55%, while approval fell from 50% to 43% since April of this year.
Regional Impact
There were also considerable drops in Pernambuco, with a decline from 73% to 65% in approval, and in Goiás, where disapproval of the president registered a significant increase.
These data indicate that, although the Northeast region maintains massive support, there are nuances within the states pointing to a growing polarization.
Economy and Public Perception
Another crucial aspect of the survey is concern about the high dollar and its impact on the cost of living.
For 72% of respondents, the rise of the American currency will affect food and fuel prices.
This sentiment is uniform across all income brackets, reflecting a widespread anxiety about the course of the economy.
Still, there is room for optimism. Regarding employment, 43% of respondents believe it is easier to find work today than it was a year ago, a jump from the 26% recorded in October.
For 51%, the economic situation is expected to improve in the next 12 months.
Government Measures
Among the most popular measures is the fiscal package announced by Minister of Finance, Fernando Haddad.
The Income Tax exemption for incomes up to R$ 5 thousand was approved by 75% of respondents.
This support is significant across all analyzed groups, including voters of Jair Bolsonaro and undecided individuals.
However, only 38% of respondents were aware of the spending adjustment part of the package before the survey.
Among those who were aware, 68% believe that the measures will not be sufficient to resolve the government’s fiscal problems.
With an approval rating that balances highs and lows and a challenging economic scenario, can Lula’s government still regain the trust of Brazilians? How do you assess the impact of fiscal measures on your day-to-day life?
Isso é uma falácia. O atual presidente está acabando com a economia do país e todos os que.votaram neles estão sentindo no bolso e, junto com isso, vem o arrependimento. Tudo o que se refere ao atual presidente flopa vergonhosamente: simplesmente o brasileiro deu as costas para ele. Essa informação é mendaz e não encontra respaldo na realidade.
Porque não se faz pesquisa sobre a sabotagem do Banco Central a economia do país?
Porque não se faz pesquisa sobre o comportamento do Congresso Nacional?
Porque o Governo Lula tem que ser achacado, chantageado, descaradamente?
É justamente para assim aparecer nas pesquisas?