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Expansionist Policy In Japan And Dollar Weakness Drive Cryptocurrency Value As Investors See Bitcoin As A Safe Haven Amid Global Uncertainty
Bitcoin (BTC) has once again made headlines in the global financial market by reaching a new all-time high of US$ 125,506, recorded on Sunday (6). The largest cryptocurrency in the world remained valued on Monday (7), priced at US$ 124,610, a 1.1% increase in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinGecko.
In Brazilian reais, the digital currency is traded at R$ 664,141, according to Cointrader Monitor. The recent appreciation occurs amid a combination of macroeconomic factors that have been reshaping investor behavior.
According to the Coindesk portal, the movement was driven by the announcement of Japan’s likely new Prime Minister, Takaichi Sanae, to resume the “Abenomics” policy, created by former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe. The program includes monetary easing, facilitated credit, increased public spending, and structural reforms, measures that tend to stimulate the economy and favor risk assets like Bitcoin.
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He sold his share for R$ 4 thousand, saw the company become a giant worth R$ 19 trillion, and missed the opportunity of a lifetime.
The highlight is that the United States, China, and Japan, which occupy the top three positions in the ranking of the largest economies on the planet, are simultaneously adopting expansionist policies, creating a favorable environment for the appreciation of cryptocurrencies.
Dollar Loses Strength And Market Seeks Safe Alternatives
For crypto analyst Beto Fernandes, Bitcoin’s recent performance is directly linked to the dollar’s loss of strength. “The DXY [dollar index] hit levels not seen since February 2022 and has already recorded a drop of more than 9.5% this year,” he explains.
The geopolitical context also contributes. In the United States, President Donald Trump is considering a US$ 10 billion aid package for the local agribusiness, affected by recently imposed tariff measures. The expectation is that Trump will meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping in the coming weeks in a meeting in South Korea to discuss the matter.
For Fernandes, the scenario reveals a transition in global confidence. “More than an overvalued Bitcoin, what exists is a discredited dollar and a less reliable U.S. economy. Naturally, the market begins to look for alternative assets such as gold, stocks, and Bitcoin itself,” he states.
Analysts Point To New Levels And Role Of Protection
Analyst André Franco, CEO of Boost Research, emphasizes that the positive trend for Bitcoin remains in the short term. “There is a convergence of three factors: the search for protection amid the U.S. government shutdown, Japan’s more expansionary monetary policies, and the continuation of the downward interest rate bias worldwide,” he observes.
Franco highlights that the correlation of BTC with U.S. fiscal risks strengthens its role as a protective asset (hedge). “In the short term, Bitcoin may test the range between US$ 125,000 and US$ 127,000, with initial support at US$ 120,000,” he projects.
Guilherme Prado, country manager of Bitget Brazil, highlights the growing institutional interest. “The market is more mature and begins to see BTC as a solid store of value amid global uncertainty,” he says. According to him, if the inflow into Bitcoin ETFs continues, the asset could test the level of US$ 130,000 in the coming weeks.
Analyst Sarah Uska from Bitybank adds that the movement of ETFs has been decisive. “The influx of capital coincides with a Fear and Greed Index at 59 points, indicating that, despite the euphoria, the market has not yet entered extreme greed territory.”
ETFs Drive Appreciation And Attract Large Investors
On Friday (3), Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a positive net balance of US$ 985.1 million, marking the fifth consecutive trading day of inflows. The highlight was the IBIT fund from BlackRock, which led the buying flow with US$ 791.6 million.
Among altcoins, the movement is also one of appreciation. Ether (ETH), the second largest cryptocurrency in the market, rose 1.1% to US$ 4,587. Meanwhile, Solana (SOL) increased 1.1% to US$ 234.21, while BNB, the Binance token, surged 5.7% to US$ 1,232.10. XRP from Ripple had a slight decrease of 0.3%, priced at US$ 3.00.
The total market value of cryptocurrencies reached US$ 4.36 trillion, consolidating the sector as one of the most significant in the global financial system.
In Ether ETFs, there was also a positive balance of US$ 233.5 million, with US$ 206.7 million related to the ETHA fund from BlackRock.
Perspective: Bitcoin Gains Strength As A Symbol Of The New Economy
The rise of Bitcoin amid global economic instability reflects a shift in mindset among investors and governments. Decentralized assets are no longer seen as speculative but are integrating into wealth protection and diversification strategies.
More than record numbers, the movement reveals a repositioning of global finances, where trust and digital autonomy gain prominence.
And you, reader: in light of the depreciation of the dollar and global expansionary policies, has Bitcoin come to stay as a security asset or is it still a risk in times of economic uncertainty?
Leave your opinion in the comments.
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