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Trump Back? How the Turnaround in the U.S. Elections Could Change Ukraine’s Fate and the Global Balance

Written by Ana Alice
Published on 09/11/2024 at 22:53
Trump pode mudar o rumo da guerra na Ucrânia? Descubra os desafios que Kiev enfrenta diante da presidência do ex-mandatário americano. (Imagem: Reprodução/Canva)
afios que Kiev enfrenta diante da presidência do ex-mandatário americano. (Imagem: Reprodução/Canva)
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The Return Of Trump To The International Stage Promises A Deep Impact On The War Between Ukraine And Russia. With His Unpredictable Style, The Former US President Could Alter Alliances And Challenge The Global Balance, Leaving The Future Of Kiev And The Stance Of International Powers In Suspense

With each twist in international politics, the course of warring countries can be modified in the blink of an eye.

Ukraine, which is already facing immense challenges against Russia, now needs to deal with an unusual and dangerous scenario.

What would happen if, in 2024, Donald Trump returned to power and took the reins of this war? The answer to this question could radically alter the future of Kiev and the entire world.

Ukraine In The Eye Of Trump’s Hurricane

Donald Trump’s promise to end the war between Russia and Ukraine “in 24 hours” has generated a wave of uncertainties, especially among Ukraine’s allies and NATO members.

Although his stance has been seen as a kind of political utopia, the fact is that, with his election, Ukraine now faces a disconcerting and trap-filled reality.

Trump, as a candidate, claimed he could resolve the impasse swiftly, but how this would actually happen remains an enigma.

Trump’s Turn: Does The Impossible Become Possible?

The central question is not just what Trump would do if he returned to the White House, but rather the impact this would have on the war on Ukrainian soil.

During his first term, Trump adopted an isolationist stance, rejecting military interventions in various regions, including the troubled Middle East and Ukraine itself.

His vision of a world with less U.S. involvement in foreign conflicts remains alive in his rhetoric, and this could be a real threat to Ukraine’s future.

For Trump, keeping the U.S. out of another military conflict may seem like a viable strategy. However, with the advance of Russian forces, Kiev’s situation becomes more critical every day.

Ukrainian Resistance And Global Perception Of The War

Meanwhile, the Ukrainian resistance to the Russian invasion has been remarkable. However, according to military analysts, the toll of war is reaching alarming levels.

In October 2024, for example, Ukraine lost several small villages in Donbas, a strategic territory for the Russians.

This setback has an immense psychological weight for the soldiers and the population, who see their lives at stake, often without the necessary support, either from European allies or the United States itself.

According to reports from frontline soldiers, U.S. military aid has been essential to keep Ukrainian troops operational.

However, the political paralysis that occurred in the U.S. Congress last year, when aid was suspended for several months, directly affected the morale of Ukrainian forces.

Today, the possibility of a reduction in support, or even a hostile stance should Trump return to power, increases the fear of surrender or, in the worst-case scenario, total defeat.

Trump’s Impact On Zelensky And International Diplomacy

In a scenario of possible changes in posture from the U.S., Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, who has been a central figure in rallying international support for his cause, finds himself in a dilemma.

During the early years of the war, he proved to be an “excellent salesman,” securing billions of dollars in military and humanitarian aid.

However, if Trump returns to power, Zelensky may lose this crucial ally. The former American president, who has questioned the effectiveness of Ukrainian leadership, may take a tougher stance, with no patience for prolonged negotiations.

Russia In Command: Putin’s Strategy Against Trump

Meanwhile, the Kremlin continues to strengthen itself, with new military strategies being adopted every day. Russian forces have advanced in various regions, particularly in eastern Ukraine, where key cities like Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia are under threat.

The pressure on Kiev is increasing, and Russia is betting on its territorial victories to force a favorable negotiation, something Trump might see as an opportunity to “strike a deal.” However, Putin will not back down easily.

His need to expand Russia’s influence and maintain conquered territories seems to be a priority that, so far, no other world leader has managed to destabilize.

The Great Question: Will Ukraine Survive The New International Order?

The big question looming over the future of Ukraine, should Trump become president again, is whether the country will be able to withstand internal and external pressure.

While NATO allies hesitate to send more resources, fearing an escalation of the conflict, the situation on the battlefield worsens.

Ukraine needs not only military support but also international leadership that understands the complexities of the conflict and has the strength to prevent Russia from continuing to advance unchecked.

If Trump follows through on his promises to “end the war in 24 hours,” will he truly be able to bring lasting peace to Ukraine, or just a temporary truce that favors Russia’s interests? The question remains open, but one thing is certain: the fate of Ukraine is now more intertwined with U.S. politics than ever.

Will Ukraine withstand the impact of a Trump administration and manage to secure its independence from Russia?

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Ana Alice

Redatora e analista de conteúdo. Escreve para o site Click Petróleo e Gás (CPG) desde 2024 e é especialista em criar textos sobre temas diversos como economia, empregos e forças armadas.

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