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Oil Barrel Sees Largest Increase in Two Years as Strike Shakes Market

Written by Daiane Souza
Published on 02/11/2021 at 08:32
O barril de petróleo está em sua maior alta dos últimos dois anos, sendo cotado a US$ 84, equivalente a uma transferência direta de R$ 477,14. A variação no mês de novembro, em apenas um dia
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The oil barrel is at its highest level in the last two years, priced at US$ 84, equivalent to a direct transfer of R$ 477.14. The variation in the month of November, in just one day, was around 0.04%, while in August 2021, it showed a slight decrease of 4.38%. In some months, such as June, the increase was over 8%.

Despite these variations, nothing surpasses the mark of increases in February, which reached 18%: the same month when the first truckers’ strike occurred under the government of President Jair Bolsonaro: the sector’s workers demanded a reduction in diesel prices while Petrobras was adjusting prices according to the cost of diesel. The federal government stated at the time that it would exempt federal taxes by 5% but could not get involved directly in the state-owned company’s policies.

Nov 21 84,41 83,26 85,22 83,10 302,90K 0,04%
Oct 21 84,38 78,49 86,70 77,55 6,30M 7,46%
Sep 21 78,52 71,68 80,75 70,42 5,09M 7,58%
Aug 21 72,99 75,39 75,39 64,60 5,51M -4,38%
Jul 21 76,33 74,69 77,84 67,44 5,85M 1,60%
Jun 21 75,13 69,39 76,60 69,29 5,06M 8,38%
May 21 69,32 66,70 70,24 64,57 5,09M 3,08%
Apr 21 67,25 63,12 68,95 61,25 5,05M 5,84%
Mar 21 63,54 64,85 71,38 60,27 6,63M -3,92%
Feb 21 66,13 54,91 67,70 54,60 5,09M 18,34%
Jan 21 55,88 51,50 57,42 50,56 5,27M 7,88%
Dec 20 51,80 47,79 52,48 46,82 4,51M 8,85%
Nov 20 47,59 37,37 49,09 35,74 5,04M 27,04%
Oct 20 37,46 42,17 43,57 36,64 5,15M -8,52%
Sep 20 40,95 45,60 46,22 39,30 4,40M -9,56%
Aug 20 45,28 43,53 46,53 42,89 3,61M 4,57%
Jul 20 43,30 41,58 44,89 41,03 4,03M 5,22%
Jun 20 41,15 37,56 43,93 37,01 4,28M 16,47%
May 20 35,33 26,95 36,98 25,50 3,80M 39,81%
Apr 20 25,27 25,99 36,40 15,98 6,45M 11,13%
Mar 20 22,74 48,95 53,90 21,65 7,36M -54,99%
Feb 20 50,52 56,16 60,00 50,05 5,27M -13,14%
Jan 20 58,16 66,41 71,75 57,71 5,80M -11,88%
Dec 19 66,00 60,73 68,99 60,30 4,45M 5,72%

In the year 2020, the oil barrel underwent drastic variations that exceeded 54%, as was the case in March. The price had dropped from US$ 50 in February to only US$ 22 a month later. Shortly after this shift, there was a 39% increase in May of the same year. Since then, declines have been even smaller, while increases have exceeded expectations. The reasons for the increase in the international oil barrel value are varied, but specifically, the item is used to create various raw materials such as plastic and fuels. Therefore, its demand has been increasing steadily and gradually.

Regarding Brazil, the greater variation in the price of the liter coming from refineries is due to ICMS taxes, which exceed 30% of the price in some states and also relate to variations in the dollar. The U.S. dollar has been experiencing upward movements with the truckers’ strike expected for the holiday on November 2nd, its price is R$ 5.66. Thus, if an oil barrel is sold for US$ 80 with the dollar at R$ 2, it has a different value than the barrel priced at US$ 80 with the dollar at R$ 5, nearly doubling the price for Brazilians.

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