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CLP Study Warns That Ending the 6×1 Schedule Could Eliminate Over 600,000 Jobs and Reduce GDP by R$ 88 Billion in the Brazilian Economy.
More than 600,000 formal jobs could be eliminated in Brazil if Congress approves the end of the 6×1 schedule, a model in which the worker works six consecutive days and has one day off.
The warning was issued by the Public Leadership Center (CLP) in a technical study that analyzes the effects of reducing working hours on the economy, productivity, and employment levels in the country.
According to the entity, the change could reduce production, increase costs for companies, and generate lasting macroeconomic impacts.
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CLP Study Projects Strong Impact on Formal Jobs
According to the technical note prepared by the Public Leadership Center, the reduction of working hours associated with the end of the 6×1 schedule tends to cause a significant drop in the supply of formal jobs.
Considering all sectors of the economy, the study estimates the elimination of over 600,000 jobs, resulting from the combination of fewer hours worked and reduced productive capacity of companies.
In addition, the document highlights that the effects are not limited to the short term. On the contrary, the impact tends to spread across different production chains, affecting income, consumption, and investments.
Commerce Leads Job Losses with the End of the 6×1 Schedule
Among the most affected sectors, commerce appears to be the most vulnerable. According to CLP, worker productivity in the sector would fall by 1.3%, while formal employment would decline by 1.6%.
In practical terms, this represents an estimated loss of 164,100 jobs, especially in activities that depend on continuous operation and higher labor presence.
Thus, the impact goes beyond the labor market, directly affecting sales rhythms and the dynamics of domestic consumption.
Agriculture and Construction Also Feel the Effects
In agriculture, the scenario is similar. The CLP study points to a 1.3% drop in productivity, accompanied by a 1.6% reduction in formal employment, equivalent to 28,400 fewer jobs.
Meanwhile, the construction sector could lose around 45,700 jobs, with the same combination of productivity drop and contraction in the hiring level.
These segments, according to the survey, have less flexibility to reorganize shifts without increasing costs.
Lower Production and Direct Impact on the Economy
Another central point of the study is the aggregate effect on the economy. The reduction of working hours could lead to a decrease of up to 2% in production of the formal sector, considering both fewer hours worked and a decrease in the number of employees.
Consequently, the estimated impact on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is about 0.7%, equivalent to R$ 88 billion.
According to the CLP, this figure highlights significant and long-term macroeconomic effects, with direct repercussions on growth, revenue, and fiscal balance.
Labor Cost Increases Without Proportional Reduction in Salaries
The document also warns that if the end of the 6×1 schedule occurs without a proportional reduction in monthly salary, the labor cost per hour automatically increases.
For some firms, this can be absorbed through internal reorganization, waste reduction, and technological changes, but for others, it can lead to margin compression, price pass-through, or reduction in scale, the CLP notes.
Thus, companies with less financial capacity tend to react with job cuts or reduced production.
International Experience Reinforces Study’s Warning
The CLP study cites Portugal as an international reference. The country reduced the weekly working hours from 44 to 40, resulting in a 9.2% increase in hourly wages.
On the other hand, there was a drop of about 1.7% in employment and a contraction of 3.2% in sales, along with a total reduction of 10.9% in hours worked.
According to CLP, the experience shows that changes in working hours require careful planning to avoid negative effects on the economy and labor market.
Debate on 6×1 Schedule Requires Caution, Says CLP
Finally, the CLP advocates that any discussion on ending the 6×1 schedule should consider broad impacts on jobs, productivity, and economic growth.
While improving working conditions is a legitimate goal, the study emphasizes that structural changes without compensatory measures can generate contrary effects to those desired.
Thus, the topic remains at the center of debate among Congress, the productive sector, and specialists in economics.
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