Amid international war, rising diesel prices, and a lack of workers, pork enters a new scenario in Brazil that could curb consumption, raise prices, and change the dynamics of the sector in the coming months.

Written by Caio Aviz

Published on 21/04/2026 at 18:13

Updated on 21/04/2026 at 18:14

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Growth expectation in pork consumption in 2026 loses strength due to high costs, international conflicts, and operational challenges in the productive sector

Since the beginning of 2026, the pork market in Brazil projected consistent growth.

According to the Brazilian Animal Protein Association (ABPA), the initial estimate indicated an increase of 2.5% in per capita consumption, reaching about 19.5 kg per inhabitant.

However, throughout the first months of the year, the scenario changed.

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Rising diesel prices pressure costs and generate caution in the field

In light of this scenario, the increase in diesel has begun to worry the productive sector.

According to Nathália Rabelo, agribusiness analyst at the Faemg Senar System, the impacts are still moderate.

However, she stated that if the conflict prolongs, costs may rise more intensely.

Moreover, imported fertilizers also factor into the equation.

Thus, producers are adopting a cautious stance in the face of uncertainties.

Meanwhile, in Belo Horizonte, prices are already reflecting this pressure.

According to a survey by the Mercado Mineiro, released with the app comOferta.com, diesel prices rose 6.44% in just over a month.

As a result, the impact directly affects a state with about 12,290 pig farms, mainly in the Triângulo Mineiro.

In 2025, Minas Gerais recorded production of 678 thousand tons, an increase of 11% over 2024.

Still, there is no consolidated projection for the current scenario.

Industry already feels the impact and adjustments begin to emerge

On the other hand, the industry is already noticing more immediate effects.

According to Elias José Zydek, president of Frimesa, costs have risen rapidly.

Initially, freight costs increased by 7%, representing 6% of the cost structure.

Additionally, plastic packaging saw a rise of 25%, weighing 10% of total costs.

Thus, the direct impact reaches a 3% increase in final prices.

***Rising diesel prices and logistics costs pressure pork, while consumers watch price changes at the butcher’s counter***.

At the same time, the ABPA indicates that road freight costs have increased by up to 20%.

Moreover, packaging costs have risen by up to 30%.

Consequently, the sector is already considering passing these costs onto consumers.

It is worth noting that, until now, pork prices had been declining.

In the last month, there was a reduction of 1.21%, while over the past 12 months, the decline was 1.62%.

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Labor shortage limits expansion of operations

In addition to costs, another challenge is gaining strength: the shortage of workers.

In this context, the cooperative Suinco, located in Patos de Minas, is facing difficulties in expanding.

Currently, the company has 1,500 employees, but needs an additional 150 professionals.

According to Bruno César, commercial manager, this limitation affected growth in 2025.

During that period, production was 55 thousand tons.

For 2026, the expectation is still for a growth of 10%, despite the challenges.

Snack segment grows and maintains positive outlook

In contrast, not all segments are facing contraction.

Rudolph Snacks, a company of the Rudolph Foods Company group, maintains optimistic projections.

Between 2024 and 2025, the company grew by 27%.

In addition, it projects an increase of 23% in 2026.

According to Raphael Guedes Mattos, sales manager, factors such as more holidays and the World Cup boost consumption.

Thus, products like cracklings and pork rinds gain prominence for being practical and associated with leisure.

In this scenario, amid global pressures, rising costs, and operational challenges, the pork market continues to transform — but is the Brazilian consumer prepared to feel these impacts in their daily lives?

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Amid international war, rising diesel prices, and a lack of workers, pork enters a new scenario in Brazil that could curb consumption, raise prices, and change the dynamics of the sector in the coming months.

Growth expectation in pork consumption in 2026 loses strength due to high costs, international conflicts, and operational challenges in the productive sector

Rising diesel prices pressure costs and generate caution in the field

Industry already feels the impact and adjustments begin to emerge

Labor shortage limits expansion of operations

Snack segment grows and maintains positive outlook

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Amid international war, rising diesel prices, and a lack of workers, pork enters a new scenario in Brazil that could curb consumption, raise prices, and change the dynamics of the sector in the coming months.

Growth expectation in pork consumption in 2026 loses strength due to high costs, international conflicts, and operational challenges in the productive sector

Rising diesel prices pressure costs and generate caution in the field

Industry already feels the impact and adjustments begin to emerge

Labor shortage limits expansion of operations

Snack segment grows and maintains positive outlook

While in Brazil a 10-story building takes 2 years to complete, in China a company stacks pre-fabricated modules and raises the entire building in just 28 hours and 45 minutes.

BRICS is preparing a payment system inspired by the Brazilian PIX that will allow direct transactions between countries using national digital currencies without relying on the dollar or Western banks as intermediaries.

Ethiopia has banned gasoline and diesel cars, placed over a hundred silent electric buses on the streets of Addis Ababa, and now aims for half a million electric vehicles by 2030, all powered by Africa’s largest dam and a courage that few countries have shown.

On the coast of China, fishermen received an official reward after finding 10 foreign underwater devices capable of “stealing secrets” in just two years, showing that the silent war for the seabed has already reached the nets of those who rely on fishing.

In the South Atlantic, three isolated volcanic islands cause the wind to draw perfect spirals visible from space: a rare phenomenon called von Kármán vortex streets forms symmetrical patterns behind the peaks of the South Sandwich Islands and was recorded by the NOAA-20 satellite in 2025.

Brazilian company breaks industrial machines purposefully in a 10,000 m² warehouse in São Paulo and sold the idea for R$ 4 billion.

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