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Trade in 2025: Conflicts, tariffs and unexpected opportunities redefine the global game

Written by Caio Aviz
Published 10/12/2024 às 18:52
Foreign trade in 2025: cargo ship in the Red Sea at dusk, with wind turbines in the background.
Cargo ship crossing the Red Sea, a scene of conflicts that impact global trade routes.

Understand how conflicts in the Red Sea, American tariffs and technological advances are shaping foreign trade and Brazil's role on the global stage.

To begin with, it is essential to note that the conflicts in the Red Sea, intensified by armed groups, continue to pose significant challenges to global trade. In addition, strategic routes such as the Suez Canal are being bypassed, increasing costs and causing delivery delays. As a result, companies that rely on these routes are struggling to maintain predictable operations. Thus, the search for safer alternatives has become inevitable, even if this implies higher costs and more complex planning.

US Tariffs Open New Possibilities

Meanwhile, US tariffs on Chinese goods are adding a new dynamic to international trade. For example, a 10% increase in tariffs could redirect some of China’s surplus production to alternative markets, such as Brazil. In addition, items such as electronics and automobiles could reach Brazil at more competitive prices, creating opportunities for both consumers and local industry. However, to take advantage of this opening, Brazil will need to invest in logistics and infrastructure, ensuring that the country can absorb demand efficiently and sustainably.

Brazil: A Protagonist in the Midst of Chaos

On the other hand, Brazil has natural advantages that place it in a privileged position on the global stage. Abundant resources and a growing consumer market are positive points that, combined with innovation, can transform the country into a prominent player. However, these opportunities depend on strategic actions to overcome bottlenecks, such as the lack of adequate infrastructure. Thus, Brazil's success in foreign trade is directly linked to the ability to align technological investments with efficient trade policies and global partnerships.

Why is Technology Essential?

In addition to these advantages, technology has become indispensable to face the growing challenges in foreign trade. For example, digital solutions allow greater precision in operations, while platforms based on artificial intelligence, such as Data, automate processes and reduce costs. Thus, companies that adopt these tools can respond quickly to changes and position themselves competitively in the global market. Therefore, innovation is no longer just an advantage; it is now an absolute necessity.

Alternative Routes Redefine Transportation

As tensions in the Red Sea persist, shipping companies need to reassess their routes. As an alternative to the Suez Canal, diverting around the African coast is a solution that, although more expensive and time-consuming, ensures greater safety. However, even these strategies have their own challenges, such as increased transport times and additional costs. Nevertheless, they are essential to keep operations running amidst a scenario of increasing instability.

Artificial Intelligence: The Future of Commerce

Finally, artificial intelligence is the main ally in overcoming the challenges of foreign trade. By automating processes and providing strategic insights, AI enables faster and more effective decision-making. In addition, companies that use these technologies are able to identify opportunities and adapt quickly to changes in the market. Therefore, investing in AI is not just a trend, but a requirement for those who want to stand out in 2025.

In short, foreign trade in 2025 will be challenging, but full of opportunities for those who know how to take advantage of it. While conflicts in the Red Sea and American tariffs put pressure on the sector, Brazil has the chance to stand out by investing in technology and infrastructure. However, to ensure success, it will be crucial to adopt innovative strategies that combine efficiency, resilience and rapid adaptation. Therefore, the future of foreign trade will be determined by those who know how to align innovation and planning with an increasingly unpredictable global scenario.

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Caio Aviz

I write about the offshore market, oil and gas, job vacancies, renewable energy, mining, economy, innovation, geopolitics and government. Always seeking daily updates and relevant topics, I expose rich, considerable and meaningful content.

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