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Miracle of 13? Petrobras Goes Through 2024 Without Adjusting Diesel Prices at Refineries; Gasoline Had Only One Change, Something Not Seen in Over a Decade!

Written by Paulo Nogueira
Published on 01/01/2025 at 22:07
Updated on 01/01/2025 at 22:11
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Petrobras Kept Diesel Prices Stable Throughout 2024, Facing Market Criticism and Praise for Avoiding Inflationary Pressures; Discover the Impacts of This Policy on the Economy and the Risks Highlighted by Analysts.

Petrobras closed 2024 without any adjustment in the price of diesel, something that has not happened in 13 years. This commercial strategy, even with the international market in great volatility, is a risky bet but has brought economic stability to Brazil. The price of gasoline, in turn, saw only one adjustment in July.

According to the Institute for Strategic Studies on Oil and Gas (Ineep), this policy alleviates inflationary pressures since diesel is essential for the transportation of goods and services. Nonetheless, investors see risks, especially when recalling the situation at the end of Dilma Rousseff’s first term, when price controls resulted in billion-dollar losses.

Diesel Below Import Parity

The Ineep survey revealed that the average price of diesel sold by Petrobras in 2024 was R$ 3.53 per liter, while the average import parity calculated by ANP stood at R$ 3.70 per liter. This resulted in an average gap of 5%. In the last months of the year, this difference increased, reaching an impressive 15% on December 19, due to the depreciation of the real.

Petrobras President, Magda Chambriard, stated that the strategy of “Brazilianizing” prices is a way to prevent consumers from suffering from international volatility, keeping fuel prices cheaper than abroad.

Economy Benefits from Stability, but Market Warns of Risks

The Ineep highlights the positive impacts of the policy in reducing inflationary effects. The stability of diesel prices, used in the country’s main transport mode, prevents significant pass-through to the final consumer. However, analysts from Santander warn of the dangers of maintaining prices below production costs, emphasizing that the strategy may affect the state-owned company’s performance.

Nevertheless, Petrobras downplays the criticism, highlighting that its strategy generated strong cash flow and consistent results, in addition to reducing its gross debt to its lowest level since 2008.

A Future of Uncertainties, but with Confidence

Despite the decrease in refining margins, Petrobras remains resilient, relying on the low production cost of pre-salt as a competitive differentiator. The strategy of “Brazilianizing” prices is a game changer: seen as relief for the Brazilian economy, but also as a risk for investors.

Now, what do you think of this approach? Is it wise to prioritize consumers over profits, or should the international market be the compass for domestic prices?

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Cleuton Carneiro
Cleuton Carneiro
02/01/2025 11:27

O petróleo é nosso e não de chacais internacionais.

Carvalho
Carvalho
02/01/2025 01:53

É primeira empresa na história que vende abaixo do custo e tem caixa e resultados consistentes, essa nem brasileiro **** acredita .

Paulo Nogueira

Eletrotécnica formado em umas das instituições de ensino técnico do país, o Instituto Federal Fluminense - IFF ( Antigo CEFET), atuei diversos anos na áreas de petróleo e gás offshore, energia e construção. Hoje com mais de 8 mil publicações em revistas e blogs online sobre o setor de energia, o foco é prover informações em tempo real do mercado de empregabilidade do Brasil, macro e micro economia e empreendedorismo. Para dúvidas, sugestões e correções, entre em contato no e-mail informe@en.clickpetroleoegas.com.br. Vale lembrar que não aceitamos currículos neste contato.

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