Technical Indicators Show Strength of the Brazilian Market and Banks Point Out Preferred Companies in Strategic Sectors
With the Ibovespa Renewing Historical Highs Throughout September 2025, experts highlight that the Brazilian stock market continues on a positive trajectory.
The study from Itaú BBA, released on September 27, 2025, shows that 73% of the index’s stocks are above the 200-day moving average.
This scenario confirms the optimistic bias regarding the assets listed on the B3, reinforcing investors’ confidence in a consistent appreciation cycle.
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For the economist José Kobori, the USA gained a trump card to “blackmail” Brazil and undermine China’s influence by classifying the PCC and Comando Vermelho as terrorists, increasing the power to pressure companies, banks, and even Pix.
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The labor shortage has changed its face in Brazil: companies hire 80% more, but workers stay only 6.8 months in the job, the service market becomes a “revolving door,” and businesses spend increasingly more to train teams that soon leave.
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Chinese giant chooses SC to set up its first factory in Brazil, investing R$ 250 million and producing MRI machines costing R$ 10 million each, with 100 direct jobs and 5% of revenue allocated to research.
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After selling a unit for R$ 115 million to pay off debts, a traditional factory in SC founded in 1932 has a new R$ 64.8 million plan denied by the court and retains about 690 workers in Joinville.
Itaú BBA Lists Stocks with the Best Momentum
According to Itaú BBA, the technical performance indicates opportunities in companies with strong price momentum.
Thus, analysts highlight Eletrobras (ELET6), Cyrela (CYRE3), Rede D’Or (RDOR3), Direcional (DIRR3), and BTG Pactual (BPAC11) as standout companies.
Furthermore, domestic sectors such as construction, shopping malls, and healthcare continue to strengthen the outlook for internal growth and attract investors attentive to the Brazilian market.
- Eletrobras leads among state-owned companies with an appreciation bias.
- Cyrela and Direcional stand out in the construction sector.
- Rede D’Or and BTG Pactual are among the most resilient stocks.
Bradesco BBI Bets on Catalysts for the Fourth Quarter
In a report released on September 28, 2025, Bradesco BBI emphasized that the catalysts for the fourth quarter should support new gains for the Stock Exchange.
Analysts believe that the market is already starting to price in a drop in the Selic rate in 2026, estimated at 300 basis points.
At the same time, the October elections bring positive optionality for NTNBs and state-owned companies, strengthening the valuation prospects in the coming months.
Among the bank’s recommendations are Vale (VALE3), JBS (JBSS3), Klabin (KLBN11), Motiva (MOTV3), Marcopolo (POMO4), and Vibra (VBBR3).
Additionally, Cogna (COGN3) and RD Saúde (RADL3) reinforce the diversity of sectors indicated by Bradesco BBI for the period.
Morgan Stanley Highlights Multiple Attractions of Latin America
Morgan Stanley published an analysis on the region on September 29, 2025, indicating that stocks in Latin America are multiple attractive.
According to the study, the stocks trade at 6.5 times EBITDA and 12.4 times projected earnings for 2025.
In Brazil, companies such as MRV (MRVE3) and WEG (WEGE3) show the highest enterprise value multiples relative to EBITDA.
On the other hand, Infracommerce (IFCM3) and GPA (PCAR3) feature among the companies with the lowest multiples, reflecting a discounted price compared to competitors.
- MRV stands out in the construction and housing sector.
- WEG continues to be a reference in innovation and electrical industry.
- Infracommerce and GPA present discounted prices in the market.
Sector Perspectives and Opportunities in Ibovespa
According to a survey by B3 regarding the last week of September 2025, sectors such as mining, oil and gas, along with public services had positive performance.
In contrast, healthcare and paper and pulp were below the index average, signaling a less attractive performance in the recent period.
Therefore, analysts indicate that the sum of technical factors, such as the advance above the 200-day moving average, and fundamentals, such as interest rates and elections, consolidates the optimistic scenario.
In this context, Itaú BBA, Bradesco BBI, and Morgan Stanley emphasize that stocks of large national companies remain among the favorites for investors attentive to opportunities in 2025.

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