Curtailment Continues Pressuring Renewable Energy in Brazil in 2026, Despite Relief at the End of 2025, BTG Pactual Analysis Indicates

Written by Rannyson Moura

Published on 05/01/2026 at 15:06

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Even With Decline in December, Curtailment Remains High and Affects Renewable Energy Generation, Especially Wind and Solar, with Direct Impact on Listed Companies.

The curtailment, a term used to define forced cuts in energy generation, showed a slowdown at the end of 2025, but still remained at a high level throughout the fourth quarter. This assessment is included in an analysis released by BTG Pactual, which monitors the operational performance of renewable energies in the country.

According to the report, the behavior of the period was marked by strong pressure on renewable generation in the early months of the quarter. In contrast, December brought more consistent relief. Nonetheless, the observed levels remain significantly above those recorded in 2024, maintaining direct effects on the revenue and performance of companies in the electric sector.

Wind Generation Concentrates a Relevant Part of the Cuts

In the wind segment, the average curtailment reached 23.8% in the fourth quarter of 2025. This percentage highlights significant restrictions on generation, even in a scenario of high wind availability in various regions of the country.

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December Reduces Pressure on Wind

Despite the weak performance for the quarter as a whole, the monthly reading indicates progressive improvement. In December, wind curtailment fell to 15.7%, down from 22.5% in November and 29.7% in October. This movement signals an operational adjustment in the system, although it is still far from levels considered ideal.

In the solar segment, the scenario followed a similar pattern. The average curtailment was 24.5% in the fourth quarter, below the previous quarter but still high. The gradual reduction over the months was not enough to neutralize the accumulated effects.

The companies most affected were Alupar, with 39.5%, Equatorial Energia, again via Echoenergia, with 38.0%, Auren Energia, with 30.0%, and Eneva, with 26.0%.

Regionally, Pernambuco led the solar cuts, with 31.9%, followed by Bahia, with 30.3%, Piauí, with 27.4%, and Minas Gerais, with 25.0%.

Energy Nature Leads Causes of Curtailment

According to BTG Pactual, energy-related curtailment continued to be the main limiting factor during the period. This type of restriction accounted for 54% of cuts in wind generation and 69% in solar.

At the same time, reliability-related cuts gained greater participation in the wind segment, while electrical-related cuts remained minimal. This data indicates the persistence of structural restrictions in the electrical system, especially in regions with a high concentration of renewable energy projects.

Even with the decline observed at the end of the year, curtailment remains one of the main operational challenges for the sustainable expansion of renewable energies in Brazil.

Curtailment Continues Pressuring Renewable Energy in Brazil in 2026, Despite Relief at the End of 2025, BTG Pactual Analysis Indicates

Even With Decline in December, Curtailment Remains High and Affects Renewable Energy Generation, Especially Wind and Solar, with Direct Impact on Listed Companies.

Wind Generation Concentrates a Relevant Part of the Cuts

December Reduces Pressure on Wind

Energy Nature Leads Causes of Curtailment

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Curtailment Continues Pressuring Renewable Energy in Brazil in 2026, Despite Relief at the End of 2025, BTG Pactual Analysis Indicates

Even With Decline in December, Curtailment Remains High and Affects Renewable Energy Generation, Especially Wind and Solar, with Direct Impact on Listed Companies.

Wind Generation Concentrates a Relevant Part of the Cuts

December Reduces Pressure on Wind

Energy Nature Leads Causes of Curtailment

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