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The climate impact on the energy economy
The president of the Construction, Generation, Transmission and Distribution of Electricity and Gas Union of Mato Grosso (Sindenergia MT), Tiago Vianna, highlights the close relationship between climate variations and the energy sector, a sector intrinsically linked to agribusiness and the economy . Vianna emphasizes that the period between December 21st and 22nd recorded intense rains, which resulted in full reservoirs and reduced energy tariffs. However, he highlights the possible change of this scenario in 2024, driven by significant climate change.
He explains that the predominance of water in the national energy matrix, which exceeds 60%, establishes a direct dependence on water conditions for energy generation. In this context, the free energy market presented itself as an advantageous option, with historically low prices. However, Vianna warns of the instability these values in the near future, especially due to climate projections.
Energy challenges and rising prices
Vianna points out a worrying scenario, where water scarcity in the Amazon region, specifically in the northern states, has a domino effect throughout the country. The Giral and Santo Antônio plants, located in Porto Velho (RO), are essential for the energy supply of the Southeast. However, the lack of water has led to the temporary shutdown of these sources, affecting energy distribution.
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He predicts that this drought, which already affects the Central-West, could extend to the South in 2024, with serious implications for water availability and, consequently, energy. Vianna highlights that water scarcity not only reduces the supply of energy, but also significantly increases its price. In the free market, this variation is perceived through the Free Price of Differences (PLD), which fluctuates hourly. In the regulated market, the situation is reflected in the concessionaires' tariff flags, varying between green, yellow and red. In scenarios of water scarcity, where concessionaires are forced to resort to non-renewable sources, the end consumer will feel the impact directly in their pockets, paying higher tariffs by energy.
The forecast by Tiago Vianna, from Sindenergia MT, highlights the vulnerability of the energy sector to climate change, emphasizing the importance of climate change strategies. prevention and adaptation. He warns of a 2024 of challenges and uncertainties, where the balance between energy supply and demand could be severely tested by climate conditions.
Source: Steh 220 Press Office.
