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After Predicting COVID-19 Years Ago, Billionaire Says There Is a Chance of Up to 27.5% of a New Pandemic in the Next 10 Years and Warns: “We Have Learned Nothing from 2020!”
Bill Gates, one of the greatest visionaries in the technology world, has proven that his predictions should be taken seriously. In 2015, he warned about the risk of a global pandemic, and a few years later, COVID-19 paralyzed the planet. Now, the billionaire is sounding the alarm again: there is a 10 to 15% probability of a new epidemic by 2030, and the world remains unprepared to face it.
If there is one thing that history teaches us, it is that ignoring warnings can have serious consequences. According to Gates, the COVID-19 pandemic should have served as a learning experience, but governments and institutions seem to have ignored this opportunity. He warns that without a solid plan, we could repeat the same mistakes—with an even greater cost.
The Billionaire’s Warning About New Pandemics
Bill Gates’ concern is not based on vague assumptions, but rather on concrete data. During an interview with The Wall Street Journal, he highlighted that the risk of a new pandemic is real and imminent. Risk models from Airfinity, for example, indicate a 27.5% chance that the world will face another outbreak of global magnitude in the next ten years.
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After Russia turned off the tap, Europe looks to Africa as a new energy salvation: two giant pipelines of up to 7,000 km may cross the Sahara and the Atlantic, costing $25 billion and transforming Nigerian gas into a geopolitical weapon.
In light of this alarming prediction, the question arises: what are we doing to prevent this from happening? Gates’ answer is clear and concerning: nothing or almost nothing.
“We Are Not Even a Little Prepared”
When asked about the progress in preparing for new pandemics, the billionaire was categorical: “We are not even a little prepared.” For him, the mistakes made during the COVID-19 pandemic continue to be repeated, and the world is not moving with the necessary urgency.
Gates argues that instead of merely reacting to crises, we should have an efficient global action plan. However, he laments that this initiative is not being taken seriously by world leaders. According to him, despite the devastating impact of the last pandemic, there is no consensus on which tools need to be improved or developed to prevent a similar disaster in the future.
What Keeps Bill Gates Awake at Night?
If there is something that keeps the billionaire awake at night, it is humanity’s inertia in the face of such a grave threat. He argues that with so many technological advancements and trillion-dollar investments in the last crisis, it was expected that the world would be more prepared. But, in reality, the same challenges remain.
According to him, the key to preventing a new pandemic lies in continuous investment in scientific research, the creation of rapid response mechanisms, and international collaboration. However, these points continue to be overlooked in favor of other political and economic priorities.
The Pandemic Was an Ignored Warning
For Gates, the COVID-19 pandemic was a warning that should have served to strengthen health systems, improve epidemiological surveillance, and ensure adequate funding for research. However, what is observed is the opposite.
One of the most concerning points mentioned by the billionaire is the funding cuts to research projects, especially in the United States. He criticizes former President Donald Trump for his plans to reduce investments in studies on deadly diseases, such as HIV, and the development of new vaccines.
In Gates’ view, such cuts could cost millions of lives in the future. He emphasizes that the United States plays a crucial role in supplying medications to millions of people around the world, and any disruption to these programs could be catastrophic.
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