Intense Dispute Between the U.S. and China Sets the Pace for the Global Pork Market — Brazil Takes Advantage of the Gap and Thrives in the Market

Written by Romário Pereira de Carvalho

Published on 17/08/2025 at 09:44

Updated on 17/08/2025 at 09:45

Imagem ilustrativa: IA

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Global Pork Market Faces Instability With Trade Disputes, Sanitary Risks, And Cost Variations Directly Impacting Brazil And Exporters

The global pork market is going through a period of strong instability. Trade negotiations, combined with sanitary risks and variations in input costs, are shaping a challenging scenario for producers and exporters.

The quarterly report from Rabobank, led by Chenjun Pan, highlights that the outcomes of these negotiations will have a direct impact on countries like Brazil.

Negotiations In Focus

Disputes between the United States and China continue to dictate the direction of the sector. China has reduced direct purchases of American pork in recent years as it has strengthened its domestic production.

ARTICLE CONTINUES BELOW

Brazilian Exports

According to the Brazilian Association of Animal Protein (ABPA), Brazil exported 848.8 thousand tons of pork between January and July 2025. The volume includes both fresh and processed products.

Santa Catarina leads the shipments, with 64.5 thousand tons in July. This figure represents a decline of 14.5% compared to the previous year. Next is Rio Grande do Sul, with 29.3 thousand tons (-3%).

Paraná ranks third, with 18.8 thousand tons, an increase of 1.9%. Minas Gerais shipped 3.4 thousand tons, growing by 4.1%. Mato Grosso totaled 2.8 thousand tons but recorded a sharp decline of 27.3%.

Thus, Brazil’s performance shows significant advancements, despite important regional fluctuations.

Sanitary Risks

In addition to competition, the sector faces persistent sanitary risks. African swine fever (ASF) continues to advance in parts of Asia and Europe.

The porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome (PRRSv) affects productivity in North America and also in Spain.

Another point of concern is foot-and-mouth disease, which exerts pressure on governments and companies. Therefore, there is an increasing need for investments in advanced biosecurity, automation, and even uncrewed operations, which reduce exposure to outbreaks and losses.

Costs In Motion

In terms of costs, corn is showing positive signs for production. Prices on the Chicago Board are falling due to favorable weather conditions in the U.S. and a record crop in Brazil.

On the other hand, the soybean market shows different movements. Proposals from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) for biofuel mandates in 2026 and 2027 are supporting oilseed prices. In contrast, soybean meal is facing downward pressure.

Outlook

According to Rabobank, the pork sector is experiencing a decisive year. International competition is increasing, input costs are falling, and trade negotiations remain volatile. Moreover, the sanitary threat remains active.

The analysis indicates that there will be opportunities for those who are prepared to react quickly. The ability to adapt may determine who will gain market share and who will be left behind.

With information from Agricultural News.

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Intense Dispute Between the U.S. and China Sets the Pace for the Global Pork Market — Brazil Takes Advantage of the Gap and Thrives in the Market

Global Pork Market Faces Instability With Trade Disputes, Sanitary Risks, And Cost Variations Directly Impacting Brazil And Exporters

Negotiations In Focus

Brazilian Exports

Sanitary Risks

Costs In Motion

Outlook

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Intense Dispute Between the U.S. and China Sets the Pace for the Global Pork Market — Brazil Takes Advantage of the Gap and Thrives in the Market

Global Pork Market Faces Instability With Trade Disputes, Sanitary Risks, And Cost Variations Directly Impacting Brazil And Exporters

Negotiations In Focus

Brazilian Exports

Sanitary Risks

Costs In Motion

Outlook

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