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Gasoline prices may have a controlled increase with the new government MP after the crisis between the US and Iran.

Written by Keila Andrade
Published on 14/05/2026 at 11:16
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The federal government announced a provisional measure (MP) to try to curb the rise in gasoline prices after the surge in oil on the international market caused by the conflict between the United States and Iran. The measure was announced by the Ministry of Mines and Energy (MME) this Wednesday (5/13) and aims to reduce the impacts of the international crisis on Brazilian consumers.

Additionally, the initiative provides for a subsidy for gasoline produced in Brazil or imported from other countries. The goal is to prevent an even greater increase in fuel prices due to the pressure caused by the appreciation of oil following the escalation of tensions in the Middle East.

Government wants to reduce the impact of rising oil prices

The conflict between the United States and Iran caused a strong reaction in the international energy market.

Furthermore, oil prices surged after the start of the crisis, raising concerns about inflation and fuel costs in various countries.

Experts say that oil has a direct impact on gasoline, diesel, and transportation.

In this context, the Brazilian government decided to act to reduce the effects of international volatility.

How the gasoline subsidy will work

The provisional measure provides for the payment of subsidies directly to gasoline producers and importers.

Additionally, the resources will be managed by the National Agency of Petroleum, Natural Gas and Biofuels (ANP).

The Ministry of Finance is expected to announce the subsidy amounts and payment criteria in the coming days.

Experts say the model aims to prevent immediate transfers of international increases to the final consumer.

Petrobras had already signaled pressure on prices

Petrobras had already been warning about pressure on fuel prices due to the international scenario.

Additionally, the appreciation of the barrel of oil raised concerns about possible adjustments at refineries.

Experts say that international fluctuations usually have a direct impact on the Brazilian fuel market.

Therefore, the government accelerated emergency measures to prevent further increases.

Conflict between the US and Iran worries the global market

The tensions between the United States and Iran continue to increase instability in international markets.

Additionally, investors are monitoring risks related to the global oil supply and maritime transportation in the region.

Specialists claim that any threat to energy supply usually causes strong volatility in commodity prices.

In this scenario, oil above certain levels can pressure global inflation.

Gasoline price increase affects Brazilian consumers

The increase in fuel prices has a direct impact on the budget of Brazilian families.

Moreover, more expensive gasoline influences transportation, logistics, and prices of various products.

Specialists claim that fuels have a strong weight in the country’s inflation indices.

Therefore, measures aimed at containing prices usually gain economic and political importance.

The role of ANP in the operation of the measure

The National Petroleum Agency will be responsible for the operationalization of the subsidy.

Additionally, the agency will transfer the amounts allocated to gasoline producers and importers.

Specialists claim that ANP’s participation will be fundamental to ensure speed in the execution of the measure.

In this context, the government seeks to reduce immediate impacts on fuel stations.

Oil continues to pressure the global economy

Oil remains one of the most important commodities in the global economy.

Furthermore, price fluctuations affect inflation, transportation, industry, and financial markets.

Specialists claim that geopolitical crises often cause sharp movements in the energy sector.

Therefore, investors closely follow the developments of the conflict in the Middle East.

Market follows the government’s next steps

Analysts remain attentive to the details of the provisional measure and the subsidy amounts.

Additionally, the market monitors possible fiscal and economic impacts of the initiative.

Among the main points observed are:

  • Subsidy amount
  • International oil price
  • Petrobras adjustments
  • Fiscal impact
  • Fuel inflation

All these factors are expected to influence market behavior in the coming months.

Measure seeks to avoid even greater pressure on inflation

The rise in gasoline prices could increase inflationary pressure in Brazil.

Moreover, more expensive fuels affect transportation and production costs in different sectors of the economy.

Experts say that containing adjustments helps to reduce impacts on consumption and economic activity.

In this scenario, the government tries to avoid new increases in the cost of living for the population.

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Government tries to stabilize the fuel market

The provisional measure represents an attempt to stabilize the market in the face of the international crisis.

Additionally, the government seeks to reduce insecurity among consumers and economic agents.

Experts say the scenario will continue to depend on the behavior of oil in the coming days.

Finally, the new MP shows how international conflicts continue to directly influence fuel prices and the Brazilian economy.

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Keila Andrade

A journalist with 20 years of experience, specializing in the production and planning of online and offline content for digital marketing structures. Also an SEO specialist for digital marketing structures (websites, blogs, social media, digital products, email marketing, inbound marketing funnels, landing pages).

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