Impressive record in sight: B diesel is expected to reach 70.8 million m³ in 2026 in Brazil, while biodiesel grows 7.2% and boosts the economy, according to a StoneX projection.

Written by Hilton Libório

Published on 28/04/2026 at 18:50

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Brazil projects a rise in B Diesel and an advance in biodiesel in 2026, with a direct impact on the economy and fuel prices.

Brazil is preparing to reach a new level in fuel consumption in 2026. The demand for B Diesel is expected to reach 70.8 million cubic meters, representing a growth of 1.9% compared to the previous year. The projection was released by StoneX, which closely monitors movements in the energy and agricultural markets.

This advance occurs in parallel with the growth of biodiesel, which is expected to see a 7.2% increase, reaching 10.4 million m³. This scenario reinforces the leading role of biofuel in Brazil and highlights how the sector directly influences the economy and the behavior of fuel prices.

Even in the face of external uncertainties, such as geopolitical tensions and oil price variations, the country shows resilience. B Diesel consumption remains strongly linked to domestic economic activity, especially freight transport and agro-industrial production.

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B Diesel Dynamics Keep Pace with Economic and National Logistics Growth

The increase in demand for B Diesel is not an isolated phenomenon. It reflects a broader movement in the economy, driven mainly by agribusiness and the logistics sector. The need to transport large volumes of agricultural production continues to be one of the main drivers of this growth.

According to StoneX’s market analysis, experts like Bruno Cordeiro point out that fuel consumption directly follows the pace of productive activities. When agribusiness grows, the demand for transportation increases — and, consequently, the use of B Diesel also intensifies.

Despite a weaker start to the year, with a 1.7% drop in sales in the first two months, the scenario changed quickly. This decline was influenced by specific factors, such as the delay in the soybean harvest and the anticipation of purchases in 2025, motivated by the ICMS tax increase in January.

The recovery has already begun to show. One of the most relevant indicators was the 7.5% growth in the flow of heavy vehicles on toll highways in March, signaling a resumption in freight transport.

Among the factors supporting this recovery are:

Expansion of agricultural production
Growth in exports
Intensification of domestic logistics
Increased flow of trucks on the roads

This set of elements reinforces the strategic role of B Diesel within the Brazilian economy.

Advance of Biodiesel and Biofuel Gains Strength with Mandatory Blending

The growth of biodiesel in 2026 is even more noteworthy than that of B Diesel itself. The projected 7.2% increase is directly linked to the increase in the mandatory blend, which will reach B15.

This movement strengthens the use of biofuel, which will occupy an even larger share of the Brazilian energy matrix. According to StoneX analyses, professionals like Isabela Garcia point out that this advance depends not only on the blend but also on the expansion of demand for B Diesel itself.

In this context, biodiesel is no longer just a supplement but plays a central role. It helps reduce dependence on fossil fuels and can improve the predictability of fuel prices, especially in scenarios of international instability.

Furthermore, the growth of biodiesel brings clear benefits:

Reduction of pollutant emissions
Stimulus to the agricultural production chain
Greater energy security
Job creation in the industrial sector

The growing use of biofuel also reinforces Brazil’s position as a global reference in renewable energy.

Hottest Regions Reveal Where B Diesel is Growing Most Intensely

The growth in demand for B Diesel is not uniform across the country. Some regions stand out more, especially those with a strong industrial and agricultural presence.

The Southeast and South are expected to lead this advance. In these regions, industrial performance and proximity to ports favor an increase in logistical flow, boosting fuel consumption.

The Center-West, despite continuing to be an important agribusiness hub, is expected to show more moderate growth. This is due to the expectation of lower grain production compared to previous years, although corn ethanol transportation continues to expand.

This regional dynamic shows how Diesel B is directly connected to the economic reality of each area. Where there is more production, there is more transportation—and higher fuel consumption.

National production, imports, and impact on fuel prices

Another important point is the evolution of fuel supply in Brazil. National production of diesel A grew by 4.5% in the first quarter, with March being a standout month.

This increase is the result of efforts by refineries to expand production in the face of global uncertainties. As a result, imports are expected to decrease, totaling 17.2 million m³ in 2026, a drop of 0.6%.

This change has a direct impact on fuel prices, as it reduces dependence on the foreign market. The lower the need for imports, the lower the exposure to international fluctuations.

The advancement of biofuel also contributes to this scenario. With a greater share of biodiesel, Brazil can better balance its energy matrix.

Another important highlight is the raw material used. Soybean oil is expected to account for 84.7% of biodiesel production, driven by ample domestic supply and increased grain crushing.

Biodiesel, economy, and new scenarios with the possible adoption of B16

The projected scenario could become even more positive. There is the possibility of adopting a higher blend, such as B16, which would further increase the demand for biodiesel, potentially reaching 10.76 million m³.

If this happens, the impact on the economy will be significant. The increased use of biofuel tends to further strengthen the agricultural sector, generate new investments, and contribute to the stability of fuel prices.

However, some factors still need to be carefully observed:

Biodiesel production costs
Distribution infrastructure
Public policies and sector regulation
International scenario and oil prices

Even with these challenges, the trend is for continuous growth, supported by domestic demand and the need for more sustainable solutions.

What this record reveals about Brazil’s energy future

The advance of Diesel B to 70.8 million m³ in 2026 is not just an impressive number. It represents the strength of the Brazilian economy and the country’s ability to strategically expand its energy matrix.

The growth of biodiesel, in turn, shows that Brazil is on the right track by investing in biofuel. This choice not only reduces environmental impacts but also strengthens energy independence and helps balance fuel prices.

The combination of a strong agribusiness, active logistics, and the expansion of renewable energies creates a promising scenario. Even in the face of global uncertainties, the country demonstrates its capacity for adaptation and growth.

Ultimately, Diesel B, biodiesel, and the economy remain interconnected, shaping a more sustainable, competitive energy future aligned with the demands of the global market.

With information from Compre Rural.

Impressive record in sight: B diesel is expected to reach 70.8 million m³ in 2026 in Brazil, while biodiesel grows 7.2% and boosts the economy, according to a StoneX projection.

Brazil projects a rise in B Diesel and an advance in biodiesel in 2026, with a direct impact on the economy and fuel prices.

B Diesel Dynamics Keep Pace with Economic and National Logistics Growth

Advance of Biodiesel and Biofuel Gains Strength with Mandatory Blending

Hottest Regions Reveal Where B Diesel is Growing Most Intensely

National production, imports, and impact on fuel prices

Biodiesel, economy, and new scenarios with the possible adoption of B16

What this record reveals about Brazil’s energy future

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Impressive record in sight: B diesel is expected to reach 70.8 million m³ in 2026 in Brazil, while biodiesel grows 7.2% and boosts the economy, according to a StoneX projection.

Brazil projects a rise in B Diesel and an advance in biodiesel in 2026, with a direct impact on the economy and fuel prices.

B Diesel Dynamics Keep Pace with Economic and National Logistics Growth

Advance of Biodiesel and Biofuel Gains Strength with Mandatory Blending

Hottest Regions Reveal Where B Diesel is Growing Most Intensely

National production, imports, and impact on fuel prices

Biodiesel, economy, and new scenarios with the possible adoption of B16

What this record reveals about Brazil’s energy future

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