Conflicts in the Middle East: Israel and Iran May Enter Into Direct War? Understand the Reasons Why This Has Not Yet Happened and the Factors That May Prevent or Facilitate This Escalation, Including Proxy Wars, Low-Intensity Conflicts, Nuclear Deterrence, and Regional Alliances.
One of the most frequent questions I receive is about when Israel and Iran will become involved in a large-scale conflict. And it is intriguing to note how the answer may be simpler than one imagines. The geopolitical scenario between these two countries is complex and has unfolded over the years, with tensions that, although they have not reached the level of a total war, keep the world on alert.
Although the conflict between Israel and Iran is a reality, with episodes of direct and indirect confrontation, direct war has not yet erupted. The international community closely monitors these tensions, concerned about the global implications of a potential large-scale conflict. The situation between these two countries is a constant reminder of how fragile peace is and how war may be lurking, ready to erupt at any moment, requiring vigilance and diplomatic efforts for its prevention.
The Conflict Between Iran and Israel: An Indirect War
The shocks and conflicts between Iran and Israel that we have seen recently are part of an older conflict, a dynamic of indirect and covert war, conducted by proxy, that is, through other allies, and not directly between the two countries. Although we have seen direct attacks from Iran on Israel and retaliations from Israel against Iran, the point is that the war already exists. The Middle East is experiencing a regional war of low intensity, and the question is whether this war will turn into a direct high-intensity war between Israel and Iran.
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Iran authorizes the passage of ships with essential goods in the Strait of Hormuz, requires coordination and protocols; UN postpones resolution to reopen the oil route, while China, France, and Russia reject the use of force.
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The Ukraine war exposes the strength of the M113 armored vehicle amid modern warfare with military drones.
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Maritime geopolitics: China and the USA compete for strategic ports in Peru.
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Iran shoots down two US aircraft: F-15 fighter crashes in mountainous area, one crew member is rescued and another is still missing; second crash in the Persian Gulf exposes still active air defense, says US intelligence.
The Obstacles to Total War
There are barriers, real obstacles, strategic and resource-related, that prevent the two from moving toward a direct large-scale total war. One of these obstacles is the distance between the two countries, 1,200 km from Israel to Iran, and 1,600 km from Jerusalem to Tehran. Furthermore, they do not share a border, and there are several countries in between that do not want to become involved in the conflict.
Regenerative Nutrition and Superfoods
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The Ceasefire Between Israel and the Rebola
With the ceasefire between Israel and the Rebola, it may seem that the possibility of an attack or a large war with Iran and Israel has decreased even further. However, it is important to remember that the Rebola agreed to this ceasefire precisely to direct its resources and efforts against Iran and not to waste time with proxies or Iran’s allies.
The Fundamental Arguments
There are other fundamental arguments that may prevent this war from becoming a large war. Beyond the distance, there are other factors that need to be considered. It is important to understand these arguments to have a clear view of the conflict between Iran and Israel.
Source: ©️ Professor HOC

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