Driven By Domestic Sales, Petrobras Expected To Have Billion-Dollar Net Profit In The Third Quarter, Says Ineep

Written by Rannyson Moura

Published on 04/11/2025 at 13:19

Segundo o Instituto de Estudos Estratégicos de Petróleo, Gás Natural e Biocombustíveis (Ineep), a Petrobras deve registrar lucro líquido de R$ 34,1 bilhões no 3º trimestre, impulsionado pela expansão da produção e aumento nas vendas internas de derivados.

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According to the Institute for Strategic Studies on Oil, Natural Gas and Biofuels (Ineep), Petrobras is expected to report a net profit of R$ 34.1 billion in the 3rd quarter, driven by increased production and higher domestic sales of derivatives.

The oil sector in Brazil is set to achieve another historic milestone in 2025. According to projections from the Institute for Strategic Studies on Oil, Natural Gas and Biofuels (Ineep), Petrobras is likely to close the third quarter of the year with a net profit estimated at R$ 34.1 billion, marking the third consecutive period of positive results.

The Brazilian state company is expected to report a net revenue of R$ 124.8 billion and an adjusted EBITDA of R$ 65.6 billion, according to the survey. Additionally, the company plans to distribute up to R$ 13.1 billion in dividends to shareholders, reinforcing its financial recovery after the loss recorded in the fourth quarter of 2024.

Consistent Profit Marks Recovery After Billion-Dollar Loss in 2024

The Ineep report highlights that Petrobras ended 2024 with a loss of R$ 17 billion, but managed to reverse the scenario in 2025. In the first two quarters of the year, profits were R$ 35.3 billion in Q1 2025 and R$ 17.7 billion in Q2 2025, demonstrating a consistent growth trajectory.

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Increase in Domestic Sales and Price Stability Strengthen Balance

In addition to the expansion in production, Ineep points to a 1.9% increase in the sales of derivatives in the domestic market. The growth was primarily driven by medium derivatives, such as diesel, Jet A (aviation kerosene), and gasoline, products that saw strong demand during the period.

Even with the 7.7% drop in average derivative prices — which decreased from R$ 489.40 per barrel in Q3 2024 to R$ 451.80 in Q3 2025 — Petrobras managed to maintain positive margins thanks to increased volume and operational efficiency.

Ineep assesses that the projected results for the third quarter consolidate a phase of stability and recovery for Petrobras. With new exploration projects in the pre-salt and maintaining high production levels, the state company reaffirms its central role in the Brazilian oil industry.

The official disclosure of the operational and financial results for Q3 2025 is scheduled for next Friday, November 7, and is expected to confirm the strong performance anticipated by the institute.

Driven By Domestic Sales, Petrobras Expected To Have Billion-Dollar Net Profit In The Third Quarter, Says Ineep

According to the Institute for Strategic Studies on Oil, Natural Gas and Biofuels (Ineep), Petrobras is expected to report a net profit of R$ 34.1 billion in the 3rd quarter, driven by increased production and higher domestic sales of derivatives.

Consistent Profit Marks Recovery After Billion-Dollar Loss in 2024

Increase in Domestic Sales and Price Stability Strengthen Balance

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Driven By Domestic Sales, Petrobras Expected To Have Billion-Dollar Net Profit In The Third Quarter, Says Ineep

According to the Institute for Strategic Studies on Oil, Natural Gas and Biofuels (Ineep), Petrobras is expected to report a net profit of R$ 34.1 billion in the 3rd quarter, driven by increased production and higher domestic sales of derivatives.

Consistent Profit Marks Recovery After Billion-Dollar Loss in 2024

Increase in Domestic Sales and Price Stability Strengthen Balance

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A British company has installed in the middle of the ocean the world’s first floating platform that generates electricity 24 hours a day from the temperature difference between the surface and the depths of the Atlantic, without relying on wind or sun.

Brazil will harvest a record crop of up to 357 million tons of grains, but it does not have the capacity to store a large part of it. The storage deficit has reached the highest level in history and is equivalent to almost the entire production of Argentina.

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