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USA raises alarm: scientists confirm that the city is sinking due to invisible heat that deforms the soil and causes silent structural collapse threatening Chicago’s civil infrastructure.

Written by Alisson Ficher
Published on 20/04/2026 at 15:21
Updated on 20/04/2026 at 15:22
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Subterranean heat generated by urban infrastructure alters soil properties, causes millimeter deformations, and imposes new challenges to engineering in large cities, with a direct impact on the durability of foundations, tunnels, and buried networks.

The heat continuously released by underground garages, transport tunnels, basements, and technical networks is altering the behavior of the soil beneath large cities.

In Chicago, research led by Northwestern University showed that this heating below the surface is already causing deformations in the ground and may compromise, over time, the performance of foundations, slabs, walls, and buried pipes.

The authors treat the process as a silent risk to infrastructure, with the potential to increase maintenance costs and accelerate gradual damage in dense urban areas.

Study in the underground of Chicago reveals heating and deformations

The investigation transformed the Loop area, Chicago’s financial center, into a continuous observation area for three years.

The researchers installed a wireless network with over 150 sensors to record temperatures above and below the ground, in addition to comparing the data obtained in the built environment with measurements taken under Grant Park, a green area used as a reference.

The result was a marked thermal difference: in parts of the central district, the underground appeared about 10 °C warmer than the control point.

Subterranean heat islands and impact on urban soil

The work describes a phenomenon known as “subterranean climate change” or the formation of heat islands underground.

Instead of being limited to thermal discomfort in stations and tunnels, this heat also begins to interfere with the physical properties of buried materials.

Soils, rocks, and construction components react to temperature variations, expanding or contracting according to their composition and the load conditions to which they are subjected.

The three-dimensional simulations made from these measurements indicated that some layers of the ground can rise by up to 12 millimeters, while others can settle by about 8 millimeters.

At the urban scale, these are discrete displacements for those observing the surface.

For engineering, however, this difference is sufficient to produce unwanted settlements, tilts, distortions in structural elements, and the opening of cracks, especially when movements occur unevenly under the same construction.

Millimeter deformations and risks for foundations and structures

The problem is not in an instantaneous rupture, but in the silent repetition of efforts for which much of the old infrastructure was never designed.

The study states that existing civil structures were not conceived to handle the persistent increase in ground temperature in urban areas.

When different sections of the ground react unevenly to heating, tensions arise that can affect foundations, retaining walls, floors, tunnels, tracks, and ducts installed beneath the streets.

In Chicago, this effect gains additional relevance due to the presence of fine clays, which are more sensitive to the combination of heat, moisture, and load.

Researcher Alessandro Rotta Loria, the author of the study, states that the city’s clay can contract when heated, favoring slow and continuous settlements in part of the downtown foundations.

Thermal deformation, in this context, does not act alone: it adds to the weight of buildings, local geotechnical characteristics, and the natural aging of materials and construction systems.

No immediate collapse, but with accumulated impact on infrastructure

Although the image of a sudden collapse is more striking, that is not what the study describes.

The author himself stated, in interviews about the research, that the phenomenon does not necessarily represent an immediate danger to people’s safety nor a current threat of building collapse.

The warning falls on another front: the gradual loss of operational performance of the structures, with the possibility of cracks, leaks, excessive settlement, tilting, and increased repair costs over the years.

This distinction is central to understanding the real severity of the situation.

In urban engineering, progressive failures rarely start with spectacular signs.

They often emerge in the form of small displacements, localized cracks, persistent leaks, and deformations that go unnoticed until they affect the daily functioning of a structure.

When these signs are ignored, the costs appear later in structural reinforcements, emergency interventions, and more expensive corrective maintenance, especially in dense centers with complex and old underground networks.

Phenomenon can affect metropolises around the world

The authors treat Chicago as a case study, not as an exception.

According to the research and interviews given by Rotta Loria, warming of the underground is expected in urban centers around the world, with variable intensity depending on construction density, age of buildings, soil type, presence of tunnels, railway traffic, and concentration of permanent heat sources.

In more compact areas, the heat released by stations, train brakes, parking lots, technical basements, and cellars tends to accumulate with less natural dissipation.

The literature mentioned in the study indicates that the shallow subsurface in cities has been warming at rates between 0.1 °C and 2.5 °C per decade, depending on the local context.

This scenario reinforces the need to incorporate the theme into urban planning, geotechnical projects, and the management of public and private assets.

The discussion involves not only risk but also the possibility of reusing wasted heat, provided there are systems capable of capturing it and converting it into useful energy for heating environments or water.

Increasing pressure on cities and need for adaptation

The main practical consequence is the revision of an old assumption in engineering: the idea that the ground under consolidated areas behaves relatively stably over time, as long as there are no major surface interventions.

The study of Chicago shows that the daily operation of a metropolis also modifies the subsurface, albeit in an invisible way.

This requires more precise monitoring, projects that consider the thermal history of the ground, and urban policies capable of reducing heat emissions in buried infrastructure.

More than an isolated episode, the case documented in Chicago exposes a long-term pressure on cities that concentrate intense and aging underground systems.

The signal detected by the research is not that of a series of collapses, but of a slow deterioration that can compromise the durability of civil works, increase maintenance costs, and amplify existing vulnerabilities in metropolises, especially where the soil is sensitive to heat and moisture loss.

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Alisson Ficher

Jornalista formado desde 2017 e atuante na área desde 2015, com seis anos de experiência em revista impressa, passagens por canais de TV aberta e mais de 12 mil publicações online. Especialista em política, empregos, economia, cursos, entre outros temas e também editor do portal CPG. Registro profissional: 0087134/SP. Se você tiver alguma dúvida, quiser reportar um erro ou sugerir uma pauta sobre os temas tratados no site, entre em contato pelo e-mail: alisson.hficher@outlook.com. Não aceitamos currículos!

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