U.S. Study Reveals That China's Air Blockade of Taiwan Would Require 860 Daily Flights to Supply the Island — Operation Considered Infeasible Due to Complexity

U.S. Study Reveals That China’s Air Blockade of Taiwan Would Require 860 Daily Flights to Supply the Island — Operation Considered Infeasible Due to Complexity

Written by Romário Pereira de Carvalho

Published on 03/08/2025 at 13:48

Updated on 03/08/2025 at 13:52

Imagem ilustrativa: IA

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Simulation Reveals That Breaking Taiwan’s Air Blockade Would Require 860 Daily Flights and Exhaust the Global Logistics Capacity of the United States

The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) in Washington conducted simulations that reveal a colossal challenge: breaking Taiwan’s air blockade would require such a complex operation that it borders on the impossible.

The study considers various blockade scenarios and points to an alarming number. Approximately 860 flights per day would be needed, with large aircraft, just to supply the population of 23 million people. Even so, this effort would not prevent the island’s economic collapse.

China’s Maneuvers Intensify Concerns

Tensions increased after U.S. officials visited Taiwan, prompting strong military reactions from China.

ARTICLE CONTINUES BELOW

Logistical Capacity at Its Limit

According to the report, the Pentagon would have to mobilize nearly its entire strategic mobility fleet. This would compromise the United States’ ability to respond to other global emergencies.

One of the U.S.’s main transport models, the C-17, would need to operate on an unprecedented scale. To maintain daily supply, 39,000 tons of food, energy, and medical supplies would be needed.

The flight routes also complicate logistics. The distances between air bases and Taiwan range from 657 km to 2,700 km, which limits the number of viable locations for takeoffs.

China Would Have to Choose Between Blockade or Invasion

The study also raises doubts about China’s ability to maintain an effective blockade. According to Eric Heginbotham, co-author of the research, China would not be able to carry out a blockade and an invasion simultaneously.

“In either scenario, China will lose assets necessary for the other option,” said Heginbotham.

He warns that one action following the other would remove the element of surprise and allow time for a reaction from Taiwan and its allies.

Pentagon Must Prepare Despite Limitations

Even in light of the difficulty, CSIS recommends that the U.S. develop plans for a possible air bridge.

While it may not solve the problem, a limited operation could provide temporary humanitarian assistance in case of emergency.

With information from AeroIn.

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U.S. Study Reveals That China’s Air Blockade of Taiwan Would Require 860 Daily Flights to Supply the Island — Operation Considered Infeasible Due to Complexity

Simulation Reveals That Breaking Taiwan’s Air Blockade Would Require 860 Daily Flights and Exhaust the Global Logistics Capacity of the United States

China’s Maneuvers Intensify Concerns

Logistical Capacity at Its Limit

China Would Have to Choose Between Blockade or Invasion

Pentagon Must Prepare Despite Limitations

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U.S. Study Reveals That China’s Air Blockade of Taiwan Would Require 860 Daily Flights to Supply the Island — Operation Considered Infeasible Due to Complexity

Simulation Reveals That Breaking Taiwan’s Air Blockade Would Require 860 Daily Flights and Exhaust the Global Logistics Capacity of the United States

China’s Maneuvers Intensify Concerns

Logistical Capacity at Its Limit

China Would Have to Choose Between Blockade or Invasion

Pentagon Must Prepare Despite Limitations

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Four times faster than the Concorde, capable of taking passengers from New York to London in less than an hour at Mach 5.5, and with an engine that switches from turbojet to ramjet mid-flight at Mach 3.5, the Hermeus Quarterhorse went from paper to its first flight in just 19 months.

SpaceX will dock a $843 million vehicle to the International Space Station to push a nearly 420-ton laboratory against the atmosphere and make the debris fall in a controlled manner into the ocean.

China opens the world’s first school where more than 100 humanoid robots from different brands will study together, each movement will be repeated up to 600 times a day and the data will feed a collective brain that will teach all the robots of the future.

Cambodia has started digging a nearly 180-kilometer canal to connect the Mekong River directly to the sea and reduce its dependence on the ports of neighboring Vietnam.

Scientists considered detonating 213 nuclear bombs in the Sahara to create an artificial sea the size of El Salvador, with each explosion being a hundred times more powerful than the Hiroshima bomb, and the goal was to generate more energy than Egypt’s largest hydroelectric plant.

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