Get Ready to Pay: Gas Prices Will Rise in 2026 and the Decision Comes from State Governments

Written by Rannyson Moura

Published on 17/09/2025 at 13:37

Apesar da redução no preço do petróleo, o preço da gasolina no Brasil terá aumento em 2026 devido ao reajuste do ICMS e ao crescimento das margens de lucro das distribuidoras e postos. Fonte: IA

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Despite The Decrease In The Price Of Oil, The Price Of Gasoline In Brazil Will Increase In 2026 Due To The Adjustment Of ICMS And The Growth Of The Profit Margins Of Distributors And Gas Stations.

Even in a scenario of cheaper oil and stable dollar, Brazilians will face new increases in the price of gasoline starting in 2026, as reported by Fipe Carros on Wednesday, 09/17. The increase is not related to production costs, but rather to two combined factors: the tax collection policy of the states and the increase in profit margins of distributors and gas stations.

State Taxes Pressuring Fuels

The decision to raise the ICMS was formalized by the National Council of Tax Policy (Confaz) and published in the Official Union Gazette in September. Starting in January 2026, the charge on gasoline and ethanol will increase from R$ 1.47 to R$ 1.57 per liter. Meanwhile, diesel will rise from R$ 1.12 to R$ 1.17, while cooking gas will increase from R$ 1.39 to R$ 1.47 per kilo.

States like São Paulo, Minas Gerais, and Rio de Janeiro, which cope with high debt levels, view ICMS as a crucial tool to keep revenues up to date and ensure access to credit lines. Since the tax is easy to collect and affects the entire population, it has become a pillar of the state fiscal policy.

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Impact On Diesel And Cooking Gas

The pattern of increase is not limited to gasoline. Diesel, an essential fuel for transporting goods and passengers, also shows growing margins: it rose from R$ 0.89 to R$ 0.91 per liter. In the case of cooking gas, used by millions of Brazilian families, nearly half of the price of the cylinder corresponds to the profit of distributors.

For economist Igor Lucena, the scenario reveals a political choice. “Oil has dropped, the dollar has stabilized, and still, fuels will rise. This is not tax policy; it is revenue policy,” he stated.

Analysts also warn that the situation could worsen if international conflicts drive up oil prices. Small adjustments in the global market, combined with the increase in ICMS and the inflated margins of distributors, have the potential to further pressure the price of gasoline and other fuels in 2026.

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Donostia

#175819

18/09/2025 19:28

Deixe-me ver se entendi direito. Se as coisas estão bem, vamos aumentar os impostos para “melhorar”. Se as coisas estão mal, vamos aumentar impostos para zerar a dívida.

Estado com população. Capitalista para arrecadar. Socialista para tributar e Nihilista para o povo.

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Get Ready to Pay: Gas Prices Will Rise in 2026 and the Decision Comes from State Governments

Despite The Decrease In The Price Of Oil, The Price Of Gasoline In Brazil Will Increase In 2026 Due To The Adjustment Of ICMS And The Growth Of The Profit Margins Of Distributors And Gas Stations.

State Taxes Pressuring Fuels

Impact On Diesel And Cooking Gas

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Get Ready to Pay: Gas Prices Will Rise in 2026 and the Decision Comes from State Governments

Despite The Decrease In The Price Of Oil, The Price Of Gasoline In Brazil Will Increase In 2026 Due To The Adjustment Of ICMS And The Growth Of The Profit Margins Of Distributors And Gas Stations.

State Taxes Pressuring Fuels

Impact On Diesel And Cooking Gas

A giant printer called the “Ferrari” of concrete has landed in Latin America and can already build a 120-square-meter house in just 48 hours, making the traditional construction site look like something from the last century.

Brazil will harvest a record crop of up to 357 million tons of grains, but it does not have the capacity to store a large part of it. The storage deficit has reached the highest level in history and is equivalent to almost the entire production of Argentina.

Four times faster than the Concorde, capable of taking passengers from New York to London in less than an hour at Mach 5.5, and with an engine that switches from turbojet to ramjet mid-flight at Mach 3.5, the Hermeus Quarterhorse went from paper to its first flight in just 19 months.

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She started by collecting oyster shells from restaurants and today she has already accumulated more than 10 tons to restore reefs, recover coastal habitats, and demonstrate how a common waste can become a tool for ocean conservation.

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