Rio could lose up to R$ 21 billion per year due to the STF's decision on oil royalties, and the impact could affect the economy, tourism, and services.

Rio could lose up to R$ 21 billion per year due to the STF’s decision on oil royalties, and the impact could affect the economy, tourism, and services.

Written by Jefferson Augusto

Published on 16/04/2026 at 12:04

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Supreme Court ruling may redefine oil revenue distribution, directly affecting producing states, urban infrastructure, and essential investments in various cities in Rio de Janeiro

The State of Rio de Janeiro may face a billion-dollar financial impact in the coming months. This information was disclosed by specialized media and reinforced by business entities, which warn of a possible critical scenario if the Supreme Federal Court (STF) confirms the redistribution of oil royalties. According to estimates presented in an official manifesto, the loss could reach R$ 8 billion per year for the state and R$ 13 billion for the municipalities, totaling up to R$ 21 billion annually.

Currently, these resources play a fundamental role in the economy of Rio de Janeiro. This is because the transfer of royalties injects billions into the public coffers of cities like Campos dos Goytacazes, Macaé, Maricá, and Niterói, which directly depend on these funds to finance essential areas such as health, education, security, and infrastructure.

Understand what is being judged in the STF

The dispute revolves around the Law 12.734/2012, approved by the National Congress, which provides for a new division of oil royalties, expanding the transfer to non-producing states and municipalities. However, since 2013, this redistribution has been suspended by a preliminary decision from Minister Cármen Lúcia.

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Direct impacts on the economy and tourism of Rio

The possible cut in royalties goes far beyond public accounts. According to industry experts, the change could directly affect the local economy and even tourism in various cities in Rio de Janeiro.

According to the president of HotéisRIO, Alfredo Lopes, the reduction of these resources could compromise investments in urban infrastructure, such as street paving, bridge construction, improvements in public transportation, and urbanization projects, including the installation of kiosks on the beaches.

Consequently, these factors directly influence tourism attractiveness. Cities like Campos dos Goytacazes, Macaé, Rio das Ostras, and São João da Barra may lose competitiveness, reducing the flow of visitors and discouraging new private investments, such as hotels, inns, and restaurants.

Moreover, the ripple effect could impact commerce, services, and the entire local production chain, which depends on the economic activity generated by these public investments.

Alert from the productive sector and risk to the federative pact

In light of this scenario, entities such as Firjan, Fecomércio RJ, and ACRJ have already expressed strong concern. In a document delivered to the acting governor of Rio, Ricardo Couto, the institutions warn that the change could seriously compromise the finances of the state and municipalities.

The president of Firjan, Luiz Césio Caetano, highlighted that Rio de Janeiro has already accumulated significant losses in recent years. According to him, the state has lost revenue from ICMS, special pre-salt participations, and revenues from onerous assignment, which further aggravates the fiscal situation.

Additionally, the president of Fecomércio RJ, Antonio Queiroz, reinforced that royalties are not a simple additional revenue, but rather a financial compensation for the environmental and social impacts of oil exploration.

Currently, royalties serve as compensation paid by companies to the Union, states, and municipalities. In 2025, these resources totaled R$ 81 billion, highlighting their strategic importance for the national economy.

Therefore, the possible redistribution raises an even greater alert: the risk to the so-called federative pact, which defines the division of resources among the entities of the federation.

Do you think it is fair to redistribute oil royalties, or should Rio keep these resources for being the main producer?

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Rio could lose up to R$ 21 billion per year due to the STF’s decision on oil royalties, and the impact could affect the economy, tourism, and services.

Supreme Court ruling may redefine oil revenue distribution, directly affecting producing states, urban infrastructure, and essential investments in various cities in Rio de Janeiro

Understand what is being judged in the STF

Direct impacts on the economy and tourism of Rio

Alert from the productive sector and risk to the federative pact

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Rio could lose up to R$ 21 billion per year due to the STF’s decision on oil royalties, and the impact could affect the economy, tourism, and services.

Supreme Court ruling may redefine oil revenue distribution, directly affecting producing states, urban infrastructure, and essential investments in various cities in Rio de Janeiro

Understand what is being judged in the STF

Direct impacts on the economy and tourism of Rio

Alert from the productive sector and risk to the federative pact

Seen from space, an image taken by an astronaut shows an unlikely oasis in the Saudi Arabian desert, protected by a terrain that slows the advance of sand, surrounded by green circles, remnants of an extinct lake and nearly 10,000 years of preserved history.

While the U.S. still faces limitations in deep space, China is developing unprecedented technology with strategic satellites that maintain communication with the far side of the Moon and aims for dominance by 2030.

In Botswana, a salt flat of up to 16,000 km² that was once an African megalake spends months as an absolute white desert, but during the rainy season it transforms into a shallow sea that reappears from nowhere and can be seen from space in the middle of southern Africa.

With 7.4 trillion tons of artificial snow pumped in 10 years, an extreme operation could stabilize the West Antarctic ice sheet and prevent a sea level rise of more than 3 meters, but it would require snow cannons, ocean water, and energy on an almost industrial scale at the end of the world.

The Blood Falls of Antarctica hide a living ecosystem trapped under the ice for over 2 million years, where microbes survive without light, without oxygen, and without ever having seen the Sun.

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