Airfare prices can rise by up to 30% — what are the government and Petrobras doing to prevent an even larger increase?

Written by Paulo Nogueira

Published on 11/04/2026 at 17:35

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High aviation kerosene pressures tariffs, while emergency actions partially reduce effects for the consumer

The increase in airfare in Brazil is directly related to the rise in the price of aviation kerosene (QAV). After the adjustment announced by Petrobras, the market began to project an increase in tariffs, although government and state measures have reduced part of this impact.

In practice, the trend is for an increase in fares, but at a lower level than initially estimated.

Fuel price increase pressures the airline sector

The main factor is the average adjustment of 55% in the price of QAV, announced by Petrobras on April 1st.

ARTICLE CONTINUES BELOW

Projections indicate an increase in tariffs

YouTube video — ***Companies can already adopt measures to avoid impacts from the rise in airfares – Via Radio Nacional BR***

According to Tiago Chagas, president of the National Civil Aviation Agency, the initial impact could result in an increase of:

20% to 30% in airfares

After the adoption of containment measures, the estimate was revised to:

10% to 12% effective increase

This indicates that the implemented actions have partially reduced the pressure on prices.

Measures adopted to contain the impact

Petrobras opted to parcel the QAV adjustment, avoiding immediate full application.

Initially, an increase of 18% was passed on, with the remainder being distributed over six months.

The federal government also implemented complementary measures:

Exemption from PIS and Cofins on QAV
Creation of a credit line for airlines

These actions aim to reduce cost pressure on companies and mitigate the full pass-through to consumers.

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Possible effects on the airline sector

Even with the measures, the increase in tariffs remains likely.

According to the president of ANAC, the actions were effective in reducing the impact, but do not eliminate the need for adjustment.

Moreover, the behavior of airlines may influence the scenario.

Among the possible responses from the sector are:

Adjustments in flight offerings
Review of less profitable routes
Price adjustments according to demand

These factors may affect market dynamics in the coming months.

Context and implications

The adopted measures indicate an attempt to balance the financial sustainability of airlines with maintaining demand.

However, the scenario remains conditioned by the evolution of oil prices in the international market.

If cost pressures continue, new tariff adjustments may occur.

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Airfare prices can rise by up to 30% — what are the government and Petrobras doing to prevent an even larger increase?

High aviation kerosene pressures tariffs, while emergency actions partially reduce effects for the consumer

Fuel price increase pressures the airline sector

Projections indicate an increase in tariffs

Measures adopted to contain the impact

Possible effects on the airline sector

Context and implications

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Airfare prices can rise by up to 30% — what are the government and Petrobras doing to prevent an even larger increase?

High aviation kerosene pressures tariffs, while emergency actions partially reduce effects for the consumer

Fuel price increase pressures the airline sector

Projections indicate an increase in tariffs

Measures adopted to contain the impact

Possible effects on the airline sector

Context and implications

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Discovery in Africa scares even scientists: a study published on April 23 reveals that the crust in Turkana has become so thin that it could pave the way for the continent’s division and the emergence of an ocean in the future, in a gigantic geological transformation.

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A Brazilian rode a motorcycle up to 5,000 meters of altitude in Peru to find the exact place where the world’s largest river originates, and what he found up there surprised even himself.

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