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Brazil Faces Risk of Logistic Blackout Due to Lack of Truck Drivers: Country Loses Over 1 Million Drivers in 10 Years, Sees Average Age Rise, and Discovers That Low Wages, Road Insecurity, and Dependence on Highways Could Halt Everything from Supermarkets to Industry

Written by Ana Alice
Published on 24/02/2026 at 18:02
Updated on 24/02/2026 at 18:04
Escassez de caminhoneiros acende alerta para risco de apagão logístico e pressão no frete e no abastecimento no Brasil.
Escassez de caminhoneiros acende alerta para risco de apagão logístico e pressão no frete e no abastecimento no Brasil.
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Driver Shortage, Aging of the Category, and Dependence on Highways Put Pressure on Freight Transport and Raise Alert in the Brazilian Logistics Sector, Which Already Reports Hiring Difficulties and Potential Impact on Freight.

The growing difficulty in hiring truck drivers has put the freight transport sector on alert and reignited the debate about a possible logistics blackout in the country.

According to a report published by Band, the combination of an aging workforce and low entry of new professionals is already affecting recruitment and may compromise the ability to market production.

Surveys published by sector organizations indicate that the supply of labor does not keep up with the demand.

The National Transportation Confederation (CNT) has highlighted, in recent studies and events, the high average age of truck drivers and the difficulty reported by transport companies in filling vacancies.

In practice, companies point out that selection processes are taking longer and requiring greater effort to attract experienced professionals.

Aging of the Category and Decrease in Licensed Drivers

Data cited by entities indicate that the average age of truck drivers is around 46 years, with a significant concentration in older age groups.

According to the National Confederation of Autonomous Transporters (CNTA), the renewal of the category is not occurring at the same pace as retirements and exits from the market.

In addition to aging, numbers regarding licensing reinforce the trend of contraction.

A survey mentioned in industry publications indicates that the total number of licensed drivers to operate heavy vehicles would have dropped from 5.5 million in 2015 to 4.3 million in 2025.

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Although this data does not differentiate who is actually active, it is used by sector representatives as an indicator of the shrinking potential workforce.

Transport companies report that the shortage is reflected in daily operations.

According to executives consulted in public debates, vacancies remain open for longer periods, and there is greater competition for drivers with a proven safety record and experience on long-haul routes.

Safety on the Roads and Income Are Among the Main Factors

Among the reasons cited for the decreasing interest in the profession, industry leaders mention insecurity on the roads and the perception that compensation has not kept pace with rising costs.

Theft of cargo is frequently mentioned in studies and reports as one of the main problems faced by transporters.

Infrastructure also appears in the diagnosis.

Entities state that the lack of suitable rest and stop points, along with deficiencies in the maintenance of highways, impacts working conditions and the quality of life of professionals.

From a financial standpoint, representatives of truck drivers and company managers report that expenses with maintenance, fuel, tires, and insurance put pressure on the profitability of the activity.

According to these sources, when net income decreases or becomes unstable, the profession loses competitiveness against other options in the labor market.

Surveys by the CNTA have already indicated in recent years that some professionals do not recommend the career to family members, especially their children.

For labor market specialists, this trend helps reduce the entry of young people and increases the challenge of generational replacement.

Dependence on Highway Modal Amplifies Impact on Freight

The debate about the lack of drivers occurs in a context of strong dependence on highways.

Widely cited studies on the transport matrix show that about 65% of cargo in Brazil is moved by trucks, a percentage that maintains this modal as the central axis of supply.

With this level of participation, any imbalance in the supply of professionals tends to reflect on freight costs and delivery times.

Economists and representatives of the logistics sector state that increases in transport costs are often passed on, at least in part, to the final price of products.

Additionally, production chains with reduced inventories become more sensitive to delays.

Industries and retailers depend on the regularity of deliveries to maintain production lines and stocked shelves, which amplifies concerns when there are reports of difficulty in hiring drivers.

Reports on highway infrastructure also indicate that the quality of the roads directly influences the cost and time of transport.

According to these analyses, highways in poor condition increase fuel consumption, heighten vehicle wear, and impact productivity.

Valuation of the Profession and Diversification of the Transport Matrix

Given this scenario, transport entities advocate for actions aimed at valuing the truck driver profession.

Among the most frequently cited proposals are improving compensation, enhancing the safety of routes, and expanding training and qualification programs.

Sector leaders assert that making the career more attractive is necessary to increase the supply of drivers.

There are also discussions about public policies that facilitate access to licensing in heavy vehicle categories, reducing entry barriers for new professionals.

Still, logistics specialists observe that the problem is part of a broader structural context.

For them, specific measures may alleviate the shortage in the short term but do not replace deeper changes in the organization of the transport system.

The situation reignites the discussion about the need to diversify the transport matrix in Brazil.

Technical studies indicate that increasing the use of railways and waterways could reduce pressure on highway transport, especially on long-distance routes and large volumes.

According to sector analysts, integrating modes would allow trucks to primarily operate in regional distribution and the final delivery stage, while other means would take over part of large-scale transport.

This reorganization, however, depends on long-term investments and planning.

As long as the current structure remains heavily concentrated on highways, the availability of drivers continues to be a central variable for the functioning of logistics.

Faced with this scenario, sector representatives and specialists discuss what measures can be adopted to prevent the shortage of professionals from compromising supply and further increasing costs in the country.

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Milesio
Milesio
27/02/2026 22:05

Estou na estrada a quase 30 anos .
Espero que pare por falta de profissionais.
Quem sabe assim seremos mais valorizados,não só em salários que está uma ****.
PRF nos vêem como nada como lixo é só perseguição multas.
Não nos ajuda a frase que eles usam estamos aqui para orientar não se aplica em sua maioria das vzs .
A frase correta é estamos aqui para lhe notificar.
Rodovias esburacadas
Rodovias pedagiadas esburacadas com péssimo reparos afasto frio que na primeira chuva volta os buracos.
E quem deviria fiscalizar só que parece não fiscaliza . que é o DNIT.
Fui eu fiscalizado pelo DNIT na 040 em minas e notificado por falta de uma faixa refletiva no cone que no caso são duas.
E só perseguição de todo lado .
Quem quer uma vida desta ?
Eu quero é parar também………

Ana Alice

Redatora e analista de conteúdo. Escreve para o site Click Petróleo e Gás (CPG) desde 2024 e é especialista em criar textos sobre temas diversos como economia, empregos e forças armadas.

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