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One of the Largest Iron Ore Producers, Vale, Forecasts Production for 2023 at 310 to 320 Million Tons. Stable Average for Mining Compared to Last Year.

Written by Bruno Teles
Published on 13/01/2023 at 17:19
Uma das maiores produtoras de minério de ferro, Vale, afirma expectativa para a produção de 2023, 310 a 320 milhões de toneladas. Média estável para a mineração, comparada ao ano passado
Uma das maiores produtoras de minério de ferro, Vale, afirma expectativa para a produção de 2023, 310 a 320 milhões de toneladas. Média estável para a mineração, comparada ao ano passado (Foto/divulgação)
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The Brazilian Company Is Among the Top Production Companies in the World, and Its Opinion Resonates with Concerns About Iron Ore Supply from Other Ranked Companies in the Market. This Is Because There Is an Expectation of an Additional Boost of US$ 120 Tons. In China, the Largest Importer of the Product in the Mining Sector, There Was an Increase in Gains from Futures Contracts Last Wednesday (11). 

An empowerment that exceeded US$ 120 per ton. The leap raised concerns throughout the sector, especially for Brazil, given the need to reach a new high in six months and to provide support to prices that are already skyrocketing.

According to the market, worldwide and specifically for Brazil, the reduction in shipping volumes of iron ore, with China importing less, has led to price increases in this item of the steel industry as well, given that China is the largest steel producer in the world. At the end of yesterday, the Chinese Dalian Commodity Exchange closed trading up 1.6%, at US$ 125.14 per ton.

With an increase of more than 40% in December compared to last November from Dalian, and a price increase of 3% on the Singapore Exchange, iron ore production has become one of the most supported items regarding the easing of pandemic controls.

In Singapore, iron ore rose on the exchange. The reference rate increased to US$ 121.30 in February, a rise of 1.1%. In Brazil, however, shipments from miner Vale showed a substantial decline due to the impacts of summer rains. Nevertheless, stable numbers are expected in 2023 compared to previous years. Swiss miner Ferrexpo also reported a decrease in annual iron ore pellet production, as the invasion of Ukraine by Russia resulted in increased costs, restrictive interventions in logistics, and even interruptions in production.

Chinese Demand Comes from the Real Estate Sector

It is the production of steel in China, and the fact that inventory levels at steel mills keep falling, along with the activity in the Chinese construction sector and infrastructure sector, the largest consumers of iron ore, that justifies the appetite of companies worldwide, including in Brazil. More than half of sales go to the Asian country, and there is no expectation that this demand will be replaced.

What also justifies this is the optimism created by the economy of the country that lives under a dictatorial regime. Among the stimuli is the grant of credit to developers, although the restrictions in combating Covid-19 still present a yellow flag. This optimism will be the real motivation for the international market to see how iron ore exports and imports will behave in 2023. The trend is for it to become cheaper, as the real estate segment, a major consumer of steel, is also the largest consumer of iron ore.

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Bruno Teles

I cover technology, innovation, oil and gas, and provide daily updates on opportunities in the Brazilian market. I have published over 7,000 articles on the websites CPG, Naval Porto Estaleiro, Mineração Brasil, and Obras Construção Civil. For topic suggestions, please contact me at brunotelesredator@gmail.com.

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