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See How to Identify Companies in Crisis Before It’s Too Late

Written by Bruno Teles
Published on 27/01/2023 at 15:15
Updated on 27/01/2023 at 18:20
empresas em crise
Empresas em crise (Foto/divulgação)
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The Entire Crisis Led Americanas To Seek Judicial Recovery And Caught Many By Surprise, Raising An Important Question: Is It Possible To Identify Companies In Crisis Before It’s Too Late?

How to know if the company is facing any problems? High indebtedness:

One of the most alarming points is the increase in corporate debt that, according to Vitorino Galindo, a CNPI investment analyst and head of fundamental analysis at Quantzed, which is an analysis house and a technology and financial education company for its investors.

In addition to analyzing indebtedness in isolation, it is important to check specific multiples and the solvency of the business, according to Régis Chinchila and Luis Novaes from Terra Investimento. Among them are:

– Net Debt to Equity;

– Net Debt to Ebitda and Ebit;

– Current Liquidity

Analysis: The Crisis of Major Technology Companies

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Via CNN PRIME TIME

Comparison With The Competition:

Other signals that can be considered when analyzing whether a company is not doing well, according to Sebrae MS, are below-average profitability in their respective sectors and increasing complaints from customers of companies with low productivity, in addition to debts concentrated in the short term.

Can Ratings Agencies Help?

These ratings agencies further help indicate the financial situation, its projections, and expectations for the financial health funds of all companies.

“In cases of accounting fraud, like in Americanas and IRB Brasil (IRBR3), things that are not in the audited statements cannot be known by anyone, not even the ratings agencies,” he states.

He further explains that ratings agencies project and analyze risks based on what has been reported in the audited results.

Examples Of Companies In Crisis:

There are still companies and sectors that worry analysts regarding higher leverage than the historical average, which is the case for airlines, according to Terra Investimento.

“To maintain their operations, they increased their indebtedness and received capital injections,” affirm the experts of the house. According to them, the significant discount of these airline stocks in recent times demonstrates what markets are aware of the challenging prospects of their sectors.

But considering that debt is not an irreversible issue, as it also involves a still adverse moment in the sectors or recoverable with the operational cash generation of the companies.

See The Largest Cases of Judicial Recovery In Brazil

Considered the largest judicial recovery in Brazil is Odebrecht, which began its process in mid-2019, with a debt of more than R$ 80 billion.

In recent years, there have also been several other cases of judicial recovery that drew a lot of attention in the market. One example of all this was OGX, which was created by Eike Batista, filed for bankruptcy in 2013 with a debt of over R$ 13.8 billion and exited this process in mid-2017.

Among the companies in crisis, Ricardo Eletro also declared bankruptcy last year. Nevertheless, in this case, the measure was suspended after a court decision. Since mid-2020, the company has been undergoing judicial recovery. In July 2022, the estimated debt was R$ 4 billion.

Bruno Teles

I cover technology, innovation, oil and gas, and provide daily updates on opportunities in the Brazilian market. I have published over 7,000 articles on the websites CPG, Naval Porto Estaleiro, Mineração Brasil, and Obras Construção Civil. For topic suggestions, please contact me at brunotelesredator@gmail.com.

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