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U.S. And U.K. Attacks In Yemen Drive 4% Rise In Oil Prices.

Written by Paulo Nogueira
Published on 15/01/2024 at 14:20
combustível fóssil, óleo cru, hidrocarboneto
REUTERS/Stringer/Arquivo – Todos os direitos: CNN Brasil
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Airstrikes Hit Houthi Rebels; Fear of Large-Scale Conflict Revived After Airstrikes on Houthi Targets in Yemen and Incidents in the Red Sea.

Oil prices rose due to the impacts of U.S.-led airstrikes in Yemen, which shook energy markets on Friday (12). U.S. crude saw a 4.2% increase, reaching US$ 75 (R$ 365.61) per barrel, while Brent crude, the global benchmark, surged 4% and surpassed US$ 80 (R$ 389.98) per barrel. This rise in prices was caused by the bombings carried out by the U.S. and U.K. in Yemen in response to Houthi attacks on commercial ships in the Red Sea, highlighting the volatility of oil as fossil fuel and hydrocarbon. (https://en.clickpetroleoegas.com.br/escalada-de-tensoes-no-mar-vermelho-faz-precos-do-petroleo-subirem/)

Concerns About Oil in the Middle East

The operation against the Iran-backed group raises fears of a regional conflict that could disrupt oil supply from the Middle East.

‘The likelihood of dragging several oil-producing countries into the conflict is definitely greater today than it was yesterday. And it was higher yesterday than the day before that’, said Robert Yawger, vice president of energy futures at Mizuho Securities.

Another concern is that oil facilities in Saudi Arabia could be targeted by a retaliatory attack from the Houthis.

In 2019, about 5% of global oil supply was temporarily disrupted after a large-scale drone attack on Saudi facilities.

‘When you start attacking land facilities in Yemen, it takes things to the next level’, Yawger said.

Despite Friday’s gains, oil prices remain lower than before the October 7 attacks by Hamas against Israel due to concerns over oversupply.

Prices initially surged on Thursday after Iran seized a tanker in the Gulf of Oman. However, those gains later dissipated.

‘There is a daily battle between fundamentals and geopolitics’, said Matt Smith, chief oil analyst at Kpler.

‘The fundamental scenario is seasonally weak, but on the other hand, we have ongoing concerns and incidents in the Red Sea, and now near the Strait of Hormuz, two of the world’s most crucial points [for maritime trade].’

This article was originally published in English by CNN International

The Impact of Oil on Global Supply

The operation against the Iran-backed group raises fears of a regional conflict that could disrupt oil supply from the Middle East.

‘The likelihood of dragging several oil-producing countries into the conflict is definitely greater today than it was yesterday. And it was higher yesterday than the day before that’, said Robert Yawger, vice president of energy futures at Mizuho Securities.

Another concern is that oil facilities in Saudi Arabia could be targeted by a retaliatory attack from the Houthis.

In 2019, about 5% of global oil supply was temporarily disrupted after a large-scale drone attack on Saudi facilities.

‘When you start attacking land facilities in Yemen, it takes things to the next level’, said Yawger.

Despite Friday’s gains, oil prices remain lower than before the October 7 attacks by Hamas against Israel due to concerns over oversupply.

Prices initially surged on Thursday after Iran seized a tanker in the Gulf of Oman. However, those gains later dissipated.

‘There is a daily battle between fundamentals and geopolitics’, said Matt Smith, chief oil analyst at Kpler.

‘The fundamental scenario is seasonally weak, but on the other hand, we have ongoing concerns and incidents in the Red Sea, and now near the Strait of Hormuz, two of the world’s most crucial points [for maritime trade].’

This article was originally published in English by CNN International

Source: CNN Brazil

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Paulo Nogueira

Graduated in Electrical Engineering from one of the country's technical education institutions, the Instituto Federal Fluminense - IFF (formerly CEFET), he worked for several years in the offshore oil and gas, energy, and construction sectors. Today, with over 8,000 publications in online magazines and blogs on the energy sector, the focus is to provide real-time information on the Brazilian job market, macro and microeconomics, and entrepreneurship. For questions, suggestions, and corrections, please contact us at informe@clickpetroleoegas.com.br. Please note that we do not accept resumes at this contact.

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