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Dollar Rate Closes at R$ 5.16 After Decrease of 0.13%, While Tensions Involving Iran, Oil, and Economic Data from the United States Move Global Markets
The dollar ended this Tuesday (10) slightly down by 0.13% against the real, quoted at R$ 5.16. The movement of the currency occurred after signals that the United States does not intend to escalate the conflict with Iran, reducing risk aversion.
Dollar Decrease and Geopolitical Tension
The decrease in the rate was recorded throughout the trading session, following an environment of lower international tension.
The perception that Washington does not intend to escalate the confrontation with Iran contributed to reduce the search for assets considered safer.
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The next few hours will be marked by increasing tension regarding the stance to be adopted by the Central Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (Copom/BC) concerning the benchmark interest rate (Selic) at the end of this Wednesday’s (17th) meeting. Although the market is ‘divided’ on the committee’s decision, the stronger trend in recent weeks is that the rate will remain unchanged at the current level of 14.50% per year. Meanwhile, a minority faction still ‘bets’ on a 0.25 percentage point (p.p) decrease.
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Casa CazéTV transforms internet chat into a live event during the World Cup, targeting over 100,000 fans in São Paulo and Rio, and boosts a Brazilian experience company that expects to grow up to 60% with shows, big screens, activations, and Brazil’s games.
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Guarulhos becomes the “Faria Lima of warehouses” with logistics square meter at R$ 37.11, more expensive than the São Paulo capital, while Shopee, Mercado Livre, Amazon, and billion-dollar funds compete for space near the largest airport in South America.
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Amazon plans to invest more than R$ 1 billion to transform the Brazilian airport into a major cargo hub; the agreement with the city hall is expected to be signed by 2026 and could generate around 5,000 jobs.
This scenario favored emerging currencies, including the real, which gained ground against the dollar for much of the day.
However, near the market close, new information once again provoked instability. CNN reported that Iran was positioning mines in the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic route for global oil transportation.
The news raised caution among investors and pressured stocks in New York. As a result, part of the real’s advance against the dollar was reduced at the end of the session.
Dollar Performance for the Month and the Year
Even with recent drops, the American currency still shows an accumulated increase of 0.46% in March.
In the annual view, however, the movement is reversed. In 2026, the dollar shows an accumulated devaluation of 6.04% against the real.
These numbers reflect fluctuations caused by geopolitical and economic factors that continue to influence global markets.
Oil Drops More Than 10%
Oil prices recorded a drop of more than 10% following reports of continued maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz.
Additionally, signs of an increase in global supply also contributed to pressuring commodity prices.
The International Energy Agency indicated that the global availability of oil could increase. At the same time, the White House stated that the United States does not rule out adopting measures related to the commodity market.
The White House Press Secretary, Karoline Leavitt, stated that President Donald Trump is willing to use all available options regarding the issue.
Trump’s Statements and Concerns About Fuels
On Monday (9), Trump stated that the military campaign against Iran was “well ahead of schedule” and could end soon.
On this Tuesday, the president also indicated a willingness to negotiate with the country.
Analysts assess that the government seeks to avoid a spike in fuel prices.
According to this assessment, the issue is considered sensitive for the American electorate ahead of the midterm elections scheduled for November.
Economic Data Comes into Focus
In addition to geopolitics, investors are monitoring economic indicators released in the United States.
Last Friday (6), the employment report known as payroll showed weaker labor market data.
Now, the market is focused on the release of the consumer price index for February, scheduled for Wednesday (11). The indicator measures consumer inflation in the country.
The prevailing expectation is that the Federal Reserve will maintain the base interest rate at the meeting scheduled for the 18th.
In the market, bets are divided on possible interest rate cuts in the second half, with projections concentrated between July and September.
DXY Index Follows Movement
The DXY Index, which measures the performance of the dollar against a basket of six major currencies, recorded a slight increase.
At the closing of the Brazilian market, the indicator rose 0.22%, to 98.947 points.
The behavior of the index reflects the global movement of the American currency and its relationship with other relevant currencies in international trade.
With information from Market Monitor.
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