The reform of cooking gas could create a deficit of R$ 797 million per year, increase informality in LPG, and open space for organized crime in Brazil.

Written by Corporativo

Published on 21/05/2026 at 16:30

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Studies from USP and Ecoa warn that regulatory changes in the cooking gas market may affect revenue collection, inspection, cylinder traceability, and the safety of millions of consumers.

The cooking gas market has become the center of a regulatory debate that could have a significant economic and social impact in Brazil. According to studies from the School of Multidimensional Security at USP in February 2026, and Ecoa Economic Consultancy in March 2026, proposals under consideration could increase informality in the GLP sector.

Currently, the country distributes about 35 million cylinders per month, equivalent to 13 units per second. However, changes such as cross-filling, fractional filling at remote centers, and the replacement of the physical brand in high relief are concerning experts.

Cylinder traceability becomes a central point of the debate

Furthermore, the studies indicate that flexibility could weaken the physical traceability of the cylinders. Today, the engraved brand allows for identifying responsibilities in cases of failures, leaks, or accidents.

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Organized crime may advance in the GLP sector

In this scenario, the study coordinated by professor Leandro Piquet Carneiro from USP warns of an additional risk. According to the analysis, the dilution of responsibility could create opportunities for militias and factions.

Currently, in the favelas of Rio de Janeiro, it is estimated that 70% to 80% of the retail cylinder trade is already under the influence of criminal groups. With flexibility, these groups could advance into filling and distribution.

Therefore, according to the professor, GLP could become a new frontier for organized crime in Brazil. The study also recalls the 1980s, before the National Cylinder Requalification Program, when domestic accidents increased.

Fiscal deficit could reach R$ 797 million per year

Besides the safety risk, Ecoa Economic Consultancy points to a direct impact on public coffers. If the GLP market reaches an informality level similar to that of cigarettes, at 41%, the loss could reach R$ 797.1 million per year.

Even so, smaller scenarios also raise concerns. With informality similar to that of automotive fuels, at 8.3%, the annual loss would be R$ 120.6 million. At a level similar to that of distilled beverages, at 28%, the deficit would reach R$ 474.8 million.

According to economist Claudia Viegas from Ecoa, the complex and widespread inspection across the country increases the risk. Furthermore, inspections by the ANP dropped by about 18% in 2024.

Reduced inspection may affect poorer families

At the same time, studies warn of the impact on vulnerable consumers. Programs like Gás do Povo expand access to cooking gas for about 15 million families.

However, informality may prevent access to the cashback provided for in the Tax Reform. This happens because the tax refund depends on the issuance of an invoice.

In light of this, USP and Ecoa recommend suspending discussions on cross-filling and remote filling. The institutions advocate for restoring the ANP’s budget, strengthening inspection, and maintaining the physical traceability of cylinders.

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The reform of cooking gas could create a deficit of R$ 797 million per year, increase informality in LPG, and open space for organized crime in Brazil.

Studies from USP and Ecoa warn that regulatory changes in the cooking gas market may affect revenue collection, inspection, cylinder traceability, and the safety of millions of consumers.

Cylinder traceability becomes a central point of the debate

Organized crime may advance in the GLP sector

Fiscal deficit could reach R$ 797 million per year

Reduced inspection may affect poorer families

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The reform of cooking gas could create a deficit of R$ 797 million per year, increase informality in LPG, and open space for organized crime in Brazil.

Studies from USP and Ecoa warn that regulatory changes in the cooking gas market may affect revenue collection, inspection, cylinder traceability, and the safety of millions of consumers.

Cylinder traceability becomes a central point of the debate

Organized crime may advance in the GLP sector

Fiscal deficit could reach R$ 797 million per year

Reduced inspection may affect poorer families

Engineers want to carve through Africa with a giant canal to bring water from the world’s second-largest river to a dying lake on the edge of the Sahara Desert that has already lost 90% of its water.

A giant brown band visible from space, approximately 8,850 kilometers long, connected Africa to America in the Atlantic Ocean, and satellites revealed that it is neither land nor pollution, but the largest accumulation of seaweed in the world, which broke records in 2025.

Workers were opening a modern road in Dover when they found, 6 meters below the asphalt, a 3,500-year-old boat made of stitched oak and plant fibers.

Instead of burning or burying old tires, an American city is transforming about 2,000 of them into the street itself, paving its first sections with a quieter and more durable rubber asphalt.

In just one cast, fishermen are surprised to capture 14,096 mullets in Bombinhas and close a historic season with 58,000 fish; scene recorded in the Santa Catarina paradise marks the last day of the 2026 season.

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